The Mavericks are gearing up for a showdown against the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday, Feb 10. Today’s game is scheduled to start at 3:00 ET and will be broadcast on NBA. Oklahoma City comes into this matchup as 2-point favorites, with the over/under set at 239. Will the Thunder manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Mavericks vs. Thunder player props and predictions.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds
- Spread: Thunder -2
- Total 239
Game Info
- Date: Saturday, Feb 10
- Time: 3:00 ET
- Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas TX
- TV: NBA
Thunder Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- Across their ten previous road games, Oklahoma City has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 119 points per game.
- As the betting favorite, the Thunder have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Oklahoma City posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.
Mavericks Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.
- Across their last three home contests, Dallas has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 119 points per game.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.
Can the Thunder Lock in a Win at Dallas?
Today, the Thunder are favored by 2 points on the road against the Mavericks. This season, Oklahoma City has been favored in 35 of their 51 games and has a 26-9 record in those games. As the favorite, they have an average scoring differential of +10.6 points per game.
In terms of their ATS record, the Thunder are 32-19 overall and 15-10 on the road. However, they have failed to cover the spread in their last two road games. As the favorite, their ATS record is 21-14 and they have an average scoring margin of +5.4 PPG on the road.
Oklahoma City’s O/U record for the season is 28-23, and the over has hit in their last three games. This year, their games have averaged 233.8 points per game compared to today’s line of 239.
In their most recent game, the Thunder lost to the Jazz by a score of 124-117. The O/U line for that game was 239.5, and OKC was favored by 3 points going into the game.
Overall, the Thunder are 35-16 this season, which is good for 2nd place in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 21-12 and 14-4 in non-conference play.
Offensively, the Thunder are one of the highest-scoring teams in the league, averaging 120.8 points per game (4th). However, they have been slightly better at home (122.8 PPG) than on the road (118.6 PPG).
Oklahoma City has been an efficient shooting team this season, ranking 2nd in field goal percentage (50%). They have also been one of the top three-point shooting teams, hitting 39% of their attempts (3rd).
When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Thunder are 18th in attempts (22 per game) and have made 18.3 free throws per contest (13th).
So far, the Thunder’s defense is ranked 12th in the league at 113.0 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Thunder are forcing 11.7 per game, which is 2nd in the league. They also come into the game sitting 1st in blocked shots at 6.6 per game.
Can Dallas Grab a Win at Home?
Dallas is currently 8th in the Western Conference with a record of 29-23. In the Southwest Division, they are in 2nd place. In non-conference games, the Mavericks are 11-5 compared to 18-18 against Western Conference opponents.
As the underdog, the Mavericks have lost three straight games against the spread. Today, they are getting 2 points at home. Overall, their ATS record as the underdog is 9-14.
In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Knicks by a score of 122-108. The O/U line for that game was 223.5, and the teams combined for 230 points. Dallas covered the spread as 5.5-point favorites.
This season, the average O/U line in Mavericks games is 235.3, and their games have averaged 236.4 points. Their O/U record for the season is 27-25, and 34 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s (239).
Dallas has won three straight games against the spread, and their ATS record at home is 11-16. On average, they are 1.9 points per game better than their opponents at home.
At home, the Mavericks are 8th in the league in scoring at 119.9 points per game. Overall, they are 10th in the NBA at 118.3 points per game. In terms of three-point shooting, the Mavericks are 2nd in the league in both three-pointers made and attempted.
So far this season, Dallas has outscored the NBA scoring average in 57.7% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, the Mavericks are 14th in the league at 47%. In terms of pace, they are 12th at 99.4 possessions per game.
When it comes to two-point shooting, the Mavericks are 9th in the league in two-point field goal percentage at 56%. However, they rank just 27th in two-pointers made per game.
On defense, the Mavericks come into the game ranked 22nd in the league in points allowed at 118.1 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 105.7 points per contest (17th). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Mavericks are forcing 11.9 per game, which is 5th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 26th in blocked shots at 4.3 per game.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Player Props
A player prop we are looking at is Luka Doncic and his points prop of 32.5.
Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -135 while the under is at +105. Our model predicts that Luka Doncic will finish with 27 points, 7 rebounds, and 7. As for his points prop, we favor the under at 32.5.
- The Prop: Luka Doncic Under 32.5 Points (+105)
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Mavericks vs. Thunder Predictions
The Mavericks come in as the underdog at +2, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 239 and given that our model is projecting 254 points between the teams, we like the over.
The Pick: Mavericks +2 | at Fanduel Sportsbook
