The Magic are all set to face off against the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday, May 3. Today’s game is slated to tip off at 7:00 ET and will be shown on ESPN. Orlando enters this contest as 4-point favorites, and the over/under total stands at 200.5. Can the Cavaliers come out on top as the favorite? Our Magic vs. Cavaliers predictions can be found below.
Magic vs. Cavaliers Odds
- Spread: Magic -4
- Total 200.5
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Game Info
- Date: Friday, May 3
- Time: 7:00 ET
- Location: Kia Center, Orlando FL
- TV: ESPN
Cavaliers Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Cavaliers have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across the Cavaliers last three road games, the team averaged 96 points per game while allowing 117. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 0-3 straight-up.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
Magic Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Magic have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Although Orlando has a straight up record of 0-5 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-4. The team averaged 96 points per game in these games.
- As the betting favorite, the Magic have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.
The most recent game of this Magic vs. Cavaliers series was a close one, as Cleveland won by a score of 104-103. The Cavaliers were favored by 4.5 points heading into the game, and their 1-point win was not enough to cover the spread. Orlando was down by five points heading into the 4th quarter and outscored the Cavaliers 33-29 in the final quarter. The 207 combined points surpassed the over/under line of 202.5 points.
Paolo Banchero had a big game for the Magic, scoring 39 points and hitting 57.1% of his threes. Donovan Mitchell led the Cavaliers with 28 points, and Darius Garland added 23 points. Cleveland’s 13 made threes were right around their season average, and they shot 35.1% from deep.
Can Cleveland Secure a Road Victory?
In games where the over/under line is higher than today’s line of 200.5, the Cavaliers have gone 43-43-1 this season. Their games have averaged a combined 221.2 points per game, which is higher than today’s line.
Against the spread, the Cavs are 40-45 this season and have failed to cover in their last three games. On the road, they are 19-22 ATS compared to 21-23 ATS at home.
Cleveland’s O/U record for the season is 43-43-1. In their last game against the Magic, the teams combined for 207 points, surpassing the O/U line of 202.5.
The Cavaliers are 11-20 as the underdog this season and are 2-8 as the underdog ATS. As the underdog, they have gone 31-31 straight-up and are 48-34 overall.
Currently, the Cavaliers are 4th in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the Central Division. In their last game against the Magic, they won by a score of 104-103.
Donovan Mitchell is averaging 26.6 points per game this season, which is the 5th best mark in the league. Over his last five games, he is averaging 22.4 points per game on 41.7% shooting from the field. Darius Garland has hit 44.4% of his threes in his last five games, averaging 2.4 made threes per game in that stretch.
Cleveland is 13th in both field goal percentage and true shooting percentage this season. Their team shooting percentage is 47% for the year, which is also 13th best in the NBA. Overall, they are averaging 112.6 points per game, which is 23rd in the league. The Cavaliers are averaging 113.4 points per game at home and 109.6 on the road.
When it comes to the Cleveland Cavaliers defense, they have been one of the better units in the league this season, ranking 7th in points allowed per game at 109.7. One area where they have been particularly strong is defending the two-point shot, as they are 4th in the NBA in two-point shooting percentage allowed at 52.5%.
Over their last five games, the Cavaliers have been even better on the defensive end, ranking 5th in points allowed at 101 per contest. During this stretch, they have been able to limit opposing offenses to just 31.5% shooting from beyond the arc.
On the season, Cleveland has done a good job of keeping opponents off the free-throw line, ranking 12th in made free throws allowed per game at 21.2. However, in their last five games, they have been giving up 17.6 made free throws per contest.
Will Orlando Win at Home?
Orlando is favored by 4 points today against the Cavaliers. As the favorite, they have gone 31-9 this season and have covered the spread in three straight games. Overall, they are 54-33 ATS this season.
In their last game against the Cavaliers, the Magic lost by a score of 104-103. The O/U line for that game was 202.5. Orlando covered the spread as 4.5-point underdogs.
For the season, the Magic are 40-47 on the over/under. In their games, the average combined scoring total is 217.5, and today’s O/U line is 200.5.
In the Eastern Conference, the Magic are currently in 5th place with a record of 47-35. In the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place.
At home, the Magic have an average scoring margin of +8.6 points per game. Their straight-up record at home is 31-12, and they have won six straight games at home. Against the spread at home, they are 30-13 and 24-20 on the road.
Orlando is averaging 110.5 points per game this season, which is 25th in the league. Their production at home is slightly better, at 112.8 points per contest. This is the 20th ranked figure in the NBA. The Magic are near the bottom of the league in pace, averaging 96.6 possessions per game.
Paolo Banchero is averaging 24.8 points per game over his last five games, hitting 48.5% of his shots from the field in that stretch. In these games, he also averaged 2.2 made threes per contest. Looking at his season-long numbers, Banchero is averaging 1.5 made threes per game. Over the Magic’s last five games, Franz Wagner is averaging 20 points and 7.4 rebounds.
When it comes to defense, the Orlando Magic have been one of the best units in the NBA this season, allowing just 107.6 points per game, which is the 2nd fewest in the league. They have been especially tough at home, giving up just 104.1 points per contest, which is also the 2nd best mark in the NBA.
One of the keys to their success has been their ability to defend the three-point line, as they are 4th in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 35.2%. In terms of made threes allowed per game, they are also 4th fewest at 11.4.
Over their last five games, the Magic have been even stingier on defense, allowing just 93.8 points per game, which is the 3rd fewest in the NBA during that span. During this stretch, their three-point defense has been even better, allowing opponents to shoot just 27.9% from beyond the arc.
Magic vs. Cavaliers Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Donovan Mitchell and his points prop of 25.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -102 while the under is at -118. Our projections have Donovan Mitchell going 9/20 from the field on his way to 27 points. Our recommended bet is take the over on his prop bet with a payout of -102.
- The Prop: Donovan Mitchell Over 25.5 Points (-102)
Magic vs. Cavaliers Predictions
The Cavaliers come in as the underdog at +4, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 200.5 and our model has the Cavaliers and Magic finishing with a combined 215 points. Our pick is to take the over.
The Pick: Cavaliers +4 | at Fanduel Sportsbook