Need a Lakers vs. Thunder prediction? We’ve got what you need, as the Thunder hit the road to face the Lakers on Monday, Mar 4 at 10:30 ET. The current total stands at 238.5, with the Lakers being favored by 1 at home. Keep reading to get our Lakers vs. Thunder player props and predictions.
Lakers vs. Thunder Odds
- Spread: Lakers -1
- Total 238.5
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Game Info
- Date: Monday, Mar 4
- Time: 10:30 ET
- Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles CA
- TV: NBA
Thunder Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- In their last five road games, Oklahoma City has averaged 119 points per game while allowing 122 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
- The Thunder have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
Lakers Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Lakers have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games at home, the Lakers have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 121 points per game in this stretch.
- Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Lakers have an overall record of 4-1 while going 1-4 against the spread.
Are the Thunder Ready for a Win at Los Angeles?
Today, the Thunder are 1-point underdogs against the Lakers. This season, Oklahoma City has been the underdog in 16 of their 60 games. As the underdog, they have gone 9-7 straight-up and 11-5 against the spread.
Oklahoma City’s O/U record for the season is 33-26-1, and 43 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 238.5. On average, their games have seen 234.4 points scored.
The Thunder’s last game finished with a combined score of 228 points, which was below the O/U line of 232.5. They also covered the spread in that game, winning by a score of 118-110. OKC was favored by 4.5 points going into the game.
This win improved the Thunder’s overall record to 42-18, which is the best in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 16-4 and 26-14 against other Western Conference teams.
At home, the Thunder have an average scoring differential of +11.8 points per game, compared to +4.1 on the road. Their ATS record at home is 21-9, while they are 18-12 on the road.
The Thunder come into tonight’s game against the Lakers ranked 4th in the NBA in scoring at 121.2 points per game. However, they have been even better on the road, averaging 118.8 points per game compared to 123.6 at home.
One of the keys to Oklahoma City’s offensive success has been their ability to shoot the three-ball. They lead the league in three-point shooting percentage at 39% and are 11th in made threes at 13.4 per game.
In terms of overall field goal percentage, the Thunder are 2nd in the NBA at 50%. They also rank 2nd in true shooting percentage.
So far, the Thunder’s defense is ranked 13th in the league at 113.3 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 51.4% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.5% of their three-point attempts.
Will the Lakers Make it Happen at Home?
The Lakers are favored by 1 point today against the Thunder, and they have been the favorite in 32 of their 62 games this season. As the favorite, the Lakers have gone 22-10 straight up and 13-19 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +3.9 points per game.
Los Angeles’ O/U record for the season is 34-28, and the over has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have seen 234.8 points scored, and today’s O/U line is set at 238.5.
In their last game, the Lakers lost to the Nuggets by a score of 124-114. The O/U line for that game was 230.5, and the Lakers were 1-point underdogs going into the game.
Overall, the Lakers are 33-29 this season, which puts them in 10th place in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 22-20 and 7-6 against division opponents. At home, the Lakers are 21-10 compared to 12-19 on the road.
This season, the Lakers are 27-35 against the spread, and they have failed to cover in their last three home games. Their ATS record as the home team is 14-17, and they are 14-16 as the favorite.
At home, the Lakers are averaging 118.0 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. Overall, they are 12th in scoring at 117.1 points per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Lakers are 3rd in the league in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they are 30th in three-point attempts and 28th in three-point makes.
So far this season, the Lakers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 46.8% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 5th in the league at 101 possessions per game.
Coming into the game, the Lakers’ defense has finished two straight games with an increased number of points allowed. Overall, they are 21st in the league at 117.7 points per game allowed. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Lakers defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.3% while allowing 37.6% from downtown.
Lakers vs. Thunder Player Prop
When looking at a player prop for this game, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has a points prop of 30.5 with both the over and under paying out at -117. For his matchup against the Lakers, we recommend taking the under on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and his prop bet of 30.5 points. According to our player projection model, he is expected to fall short of his prop, with a projection of 30.
- The Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 30.5 Points (-117)
Lakers vs. Thunder Predictions
We’re calling a win for the Lakers, with a final score of 119-117, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Lakers at -1.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 238.5 and given that our model is projecting 236 points between the teams, we like the under.
The Pick: Lakers -1 | at Fanduel Sportsbook