Kings vs. Mavericks Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Tuesday, Mar 26

Nov 24, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Sacramento Kings guard De'Aaron Fox (5) handles the ball against the Minnesota Timberwolves during the first quarter at Target Center.
Image Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

The Kings are set to face the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday, Mar 26. The game is scheduled for 10:00 ET while airing on TNT. Sacramento enters this game as 1-point favorites with the total set at 233.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Kings vs Mavericks predictions below.

Kings vs. Mavericks Odds

  • Spread: Kings -1
  • Total 233.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, Mar 26
  • Time: 10:00 ET
  • Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento CA
  • TV: TNT

Mavericks Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last five road contests, Dallas has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 123 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.

Kings Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Kings have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • The Kings are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • Sacramento has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

Do the Mavericks Stand a Chance in Sacramento?

Dallas has a record of 42-29 this season, which has them 2nd in the Southwest Division and 7th in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 16-10 compared to 26-19 against Western Conference opponents.

The Mavericks have won four straight games and are 20-14 on the road this season. Currently, they are 14th in the Western Conference road standings.

As the underdog, the Mavericks have a record of 10-18 and are 13-15 ATS in those games. Today, they are getting 1 point as the underdog and have gone 2-0 ATS as the underdog.

In their last game, the Mavericks beat the Jazz by a score of 115-105. They were 7.5-point favorites going into the game and have an ATS record of 40-31 this season.

The average O/U line in Dallas’ games this season is 236.1, which is higher than today’s line of 233.5. Their games have averaged 235.5 points per game, and they have gone 34-37 on the O/U for the season.

Heading into their game against the Kings, the Mavericks are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, averaging 14.5 makes per game (3rd). They are also 11th in field goal percentage at 48%. In terms of scoring, Dallas is 6th in the NBA at 118.6 points per game.

When it comes to their scoring on the road, the Mavericks are averaging 117.9 points per game, which is 6th in the league. In terms of pace, Dallas is 12th in the NBA at 99.6 possessions per game.

So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60.6% of their games. In terms of free throw shooting, they are 14th in the league at 17.4 makes per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, Dallas is 23rd in the NBA.

Coming into today’s game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 116.9 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Mavericks are forcing 11.8 per game, which is 7th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 22nd in blocked shots at 4.7 per game.

Taking a Look at the Kings Chances at Home

Sacramento is favored by 1 point in today’s game against the Mavericks. This season, the Kings have been favored in 49 of their 71 games and have a record of 31-18 as the favorite. Their ATS record as the favorite is 22-27.

In the Western Conference, the Kings are currently in 6th place with a record of 42-29. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 27-17 compared to 15-12 in non-conference games. In the Pacific Division, they are in 2nd place.

Sacramento has won their last two games straight up and have an ATS win streak of two games as well. In their most recent game, they defeated the 76ers by a score of 108-96. The Kings were favored by 7.5 points in that game.

This season, Sacramento has an O/U record of 34-36-1, and the under has hit in their last four games. Today’s O/U line is set at 233.5, and the Kings have averaged a combined 233.7 points per game this season.

The Kings have been one of the NBA’s most potent offenses this season, averaging 117.6 points per game (9th). At home, they have been even better, scoring 119.8 points per game (7th).

So far, Sacramento has outscored the NBA scoring average in 62% of their games. In terms of scoring efficiency, they are 12th in field goal percentage (48%) and 12th in true shooting percentage.

When it comes to pace, the Kings are 11th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 5th in both made threes (14.2 per game) and three-point attempts (39 per game).

At present, the Kings’ defense is ranked 18th, allowing 116.1 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Kings squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.2% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 38.7% from downtown.

Kings vs. Mavericks Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Luka Doncic and his points prop of 32.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -122 while the under is at -104. With his prop at 32.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 34. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.0% and knocking down four threes.

  • The Prop: Luka Doncic Over 32.5 Points (-122)

Kings vs. Mavericks Predictions

As the underdogs with a spread of +1, we recommend going with the Mavericks on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 233.5 and given that our model is projecting 226 points between the teams, we like the under.

The Pick: Mavericks +1 | at Fanduel Sportsbook