Grizzlies vs. Bucks Player Props & Predictions – Thursday, Feb 15

Apr 26, 2023; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) stands in the center of the court after a 128-126 loss to the Miami Heat during game five of the 2023 NBA Playoffs at Fiserv Forum.
Image Credit: Michael McLoone-USA TODAY Sports

The Grizzlies are set to face the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday, Feb 15. The game is scheduled for 8:30 ET while airing on TNT. Milwaukee enters this game as 11.5-point favorites with the total set at 223.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Grizzlies vs Bucks players props and predictions below.

Grizzlies vs. Bucks Odds

  • Spread: Bucks -11.5
  • Total 223.5

Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, Feb 15
  • Time: 8:30 ET
  • Location: FedExForum, Memphis TN
  • TV: TNT

Bucks Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last five road games, Milwaukee has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 113 points per game.
  • Milwaukee has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

Grizzlies Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Grizzlies offense has averaged 103 points per game while allowing an average of 123. Memphis posted an overall record of 0-3 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have gone 7-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-8.

Can Milwaukee Deliver on the Road?

As the Bucks have a record of 35-20, they are currently 3rd in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the Central Division. Milwaukee is favored by 11.5 points today and has gone 35-14 as the favorite this season.

Milwaukee’s ATS record for the season is 21-34, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two road games. On the road, the Bucks are 9-16 ATS.

This season, the Bucks have an O/U record of 29-26, and the under has hit in their last three games. Today’s O/U line is set at 223.5, and their games have averaged 241.2 points per game.

In their last game, the Bucks lost to the Heat by a score of 123-97. They were favored by 7.5 points in that game, and the O/U line was 224.

This season, the Bucks are one of the most prolific offenses in the NBA, ranking 2nd in scoring at 122.2 points per game. They have been especially good on the road, averaging 120.9 points per game away from home.

Milwaukee’s offense is built around three-point shooting, as they are 5th in the league in made threes at 14.3 per game. Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc.

When it comes to two-point shooting, the Bucks are 2nd in the NBA in percentage at 58%. In terms of pace, they are 4th in the league at 101.4 possessions per game.

Looking at the Bucks’ defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 118.9 points per game (23rd). In their previous game, the Bucks’ defense struggled against the Heat, giving up 123 points on a field goal percentage of 51%.

Does Memphis Have a Shot at a Home Win?

Heading into today’s game against the Bucks, the Grizzlies are 19-36 and are currently 13th in the Western Conference. In the Southwest Division, they are in 4th place.

Memphis has covered the spread in their last two games and has an ATS record of 26-29 for the season. At home, they are 10-16 ATS compared to 16-13 on the road.

This season, the Grizzlies have been the underdog in 41 of their 55 games. As the underdog, their ATS record is 21-20, and they are 13-28 straight-up. Their ATS record as the underdog is 2-0 over their last two games.

The Grizzlies’ O/U record for the season is 24-30-1. In their last two games, the combined scoring has gone over the posted O/U lines. On average, their games have finished with 220 points.

In their most recent game, the Grizzlies beat the Rockets by a score of 121-113. Memphis was getting 2.5 points in that game and has now won two straight vs. the spread.

When it comes to scoring, the Grizzlies are one of the lowest-scoring teams in the league, averaging just 107 points per game (30th). At home, they are averaging 104.6 points per game.

So far this season, Memphis has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 21.8% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 18th in the league at 98.4 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Grizzlies are 30th in field goal percentage at 44%. However, they are 8th in three-pointers made per game at 13.7. Overall, Memphis is 29th in true shooting percentage.

Coming into today’s game, the Grizzlies’ defense is giving up an average of 113.1 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Grizzlies defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.6% while allowing 38.2% from downtown.

Grizzlies vs. Bucks Player Props

A player prop we are looking at is Giannis Antetokounmpo and his points prop of 30.5.

Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -109 while the under is at -125. Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with a stat line of 29 points, 11, and 6 assists. As for his points prop, we like the under at 30.5.

  • The Prop: Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 30.5 Points (-125)

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Grizzlies vs. Bucks Predictions

Coming in as the underdogs at +11.5, we have the Grizzlies as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 223.5, and given that our model is projecting 255 points between the teams, we like the over.

The Pick: Grizzlies +11.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook