Two NFL Week 4 Predictions: Sunday’s Best Bets

Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff throws a pass in pregame warmups
Image Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

It’s Week 4 of the NFL, and we’re back with NFL picks for Sunday. To begin the season we set out on the Small Deposit Challenge, taking advantage of a $5 DraftKings Promotion and turning it into $196 to begin Week 2.

In Week 2 I went 0-3 and was on the wrong side of a few major upsets and nail-biters. In week 3 I went 1-1, which isn’t going to cut it. I’m back and hungry for a positive week so let’s get right to it. 

How To Turn $5 Into $200 On DraftKings

You can start with your own small balance challenge by turning $5 into $200. Here’s how:

  • Open up a DraftKings account using our exclusive banner below.
  • Deposit at least $5 into your account.
  • Place a $5 bet on an NFL moneyline.
  • If your selection wins, you will receive $200 in free bets plus the payout from your stake.
  • Taking the Eagles moneyline is an excellent pick to get the job done this week.

Small Account Challenge: Balance

Moving forward, we have $36 to play with this week. Here’s what I like for Sunday:

NFL Week 4 Predictions: Two Picks

Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 (vs. Jaguars)

  • Odds: -110 at DraftKings
  • Amount: $15.50 to win $15

Let’s start with the Jacksonville Jaguars, led by former Eagles Head Coach Doug Pederson. They are traveling to Philadelphia to take on the red hot Eagles at home. The Eagles’ last two matchups have been against the Vikings and Commanders, both of which I think would beat the Jaguars. The fact they’ll have their fans behind them in a noon ball game that should be mid-60s with no precipitation makes me feel even more confident in them.

I hate to jump on a hot team after they’ve been hot, but I have no reason to think the Jaguars threaten to win this ball game. Jalen Hurts’ QBR at home is roughly 3% better than on the road. The Eagles do a great job limiting big plays, allowing only 1 touchdown more than 8 yards from the goal line in 3 weeks. The Jaguars may threaten to cover, but I think the Eagles take a two-score lead, and their defense prevents the Jags from doing just that. 

I’m not going to overanalyze this. Let’s back the Eagles to win by 7 or more at home.

Detroit Lions -4 (vs. Seahawks)

  • Odds: -110 at DraftKings
  • Amount: $15.50 to win $15

Next, we move to Detroit, where the Lions host the Seattle Seahawks. It’s not too late for Dan Campbell to get his guys on track to have hope for the playoffs. I know it’s odd to be already talking about the playoffs since it’s still several weeks out, but the Lions are two weeks out from their bye week. They take on the Seahawks, who should be a weaker opponent than the three teams they’ve faced. It’ll be the last game they play at home until Week 8. 

The Seahawks are the second to worst team in the league against the run, with only the Texans logging worse numbers through three weeks. With a dominant run offense in the Lions, this won’t fare well for them. With some injuries on the defensive side for Seattle, they’re in for a long day keeping up with a surprisingly impressive offense in Detroit. 

Let’s take the Lions to win by at least 4 in their last game at home until Week 8.