Celtics vs Warriors Player Props: Fade Stephen Curry In Game 1?

Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) reacts after a play against the Dallas Mavericks during the first half during game five of the 2022 western conference finals at Chase Center.
Image Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

It all comes down to this. The NBA Finals are here, and you better believe our Celtics vs Warriors player props are here as well.

These teams will square off in the final series of the playoffs, starting with Game 1 at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday. The Warriors benefit from homecourt advantage, listed as 3.5-point favorites for the opening contest. Golden State is also listed as -150 favorites to win the series.

With that, let’s dive into our top Celtics vs Warriors player props for Game 1. We’ll feature a pair of value-based player props from both squads.

Odds via DraftKings and updated as of 12 p.m. ET on June 2.

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Celtics vs Warriors Player Props

Boston Celtics: G Derrick White

Derrick White #9 of the Boston Celtics dribbles the ball in the first quarter against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on February 27, 2022 in Indianapolis, Indiana.
Image Credit: Dylan Buell/Getty Images

The prop: 8.5 points
The odds: Over +100/Under -125

Robert Williams’ health is the biggest question mark for the Celtics. He’s been on the court recently, but the Boston big man is clearly less than full strength. Because of this, Williams has been capped at 26 minutes in most contests, and he played just 14 minutes in Game 7 against the Heat.

Derrick White has picked up the slack with Williams banged up. The midseason acquisition from the Spurs got off to a rocky start in Boston, but he has been instrumental of late. He’s scored at least 13 points in three of the past four games, and he finished with eight points in the fourth. He figures to see plenty of run against the Warriors, who don’t play a particularly large lineup.

I’ll gladly take White Over 8.5 points at even money.

Boston Celtics: SF Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown #7 of the Boston Celtics brings the ball up court against the Charlotte Hornets during their game at Spectrum Center on March 09, 2022 in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Image Credit: Jacob Kupferman/Getty Images

The prop: 3.5 assists
The odds: Over +125/Under -170

Brown isn’t known as a playmaker. In fact, there were times last series where he seemingly forgot how to dribble. Brown finished with an abysmal seven turnovers in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals. On top of that, he’s racked up at least four turnovers in four of his past five games. Brown was also a mediocre distributor during the regular season, averaging just 3.5 assists per game.

However, Brown has posted solid assist totals throughout the postseason. He’s racked up at least four assists in nine of 18 games, including at least five dimes in back-to-back games. Those performances came in a slog of a series vs. the Heat, and the matchup vs. the Warriors figures to be a bit more free-flowing. The Warriors have an excellent defense, but it’s a clear upgrade from a pace perspective.

If Brown can do that vs. the Heat, I see no reason why he can’t do it against the Warriors. The Over is worth a gamble at +125.

Golden State Warriors: SG Jordan Poole

Golden State Warriors guard Jordan Poole (3) shoots the basketball against Dallas Mavericks guard Jalen Brunson (13) during the fourth quarter in game two of the 2022 western conference finals at Chase Center.
Image Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

The prop: 21.5 points + rebounds + assists
The odds: Over +110/Under -155

Poole has been a breakout star for the Warriors this season. He’s spent time alternating between the starting lineup and the bench, but he’s been productive regardless of his role. He was phenomenal in their series vs. the Mavericks, finishing with averages of 16.4 points, 2.8 boards, and 3.8 assists while shooting a ridiculous 63.6% from the field.

The big concern with Poole has been his abysmal defense. He has been relentlessly targeted and exploited by opposing offenses when on the floor, which has had a slight impact on his playing time. Still, Poole has hit the over on 21.5 PRA in three of his past five games, and this number is simply too low. The Warriors are going to need as many scoring threats as possible against the Celtics’ elite defense, and Poole clearly brings that to the table.

Golden State Warriors: PG Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors looks on against the Milwaukee Bucks in the second half of an NBA basketball game at Chase Center on March 12, 2022 in San Francisco, California.
Image Credit: Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

The prop: 27.5 points
The odds: Over -120/Under -105

While guys like Poole, Klay Thompson, and Andrew Wiggins have all had excellent performances during the postseason, Curry has been uncharacteristically quiet. Don’t get me wrong, he’s still been the Warriors’ clear best player, but he hasn’t had a true “Curryesque” performance. He’s had just one game with more than five 3-pointers during the postseason, and he’s averaged just 25.4 points per game in his 12 playoff starts. That includes averaging just 23.8 points per game in five contests vs. the Mavericks.

The emergence of other scoring threats for the Warriors means Curry hasn’t needed to carry as large of a burden. Curry also figures to struggle with the Celtics’ outstanding defense in this series. They were the best defense in the league during the regular season, and they’ve allowed an unreal 86.8 points per 100 possessions in halfcourt sets during the playoffs. The Warriors’ halfcourt offense is the best in the business – largely thanks to the spacing provided by Curry – but expectations should be a bit lower than usual in this matchup.

Add it all up, and the Under on 27.5 points makes a ton of sense in this spot.

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