NFL Betting: Allen, Beasley Headline Bills Player Props For Week 11

Buffalo Bills QB #17 Josh Allen looks downfield during a pass attempt in a 2021 home game in Buffalo, NY.
Image Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

The Buffalo Bills props have been great moneymakers this season due to their high-powered offense. This week, the Indianapolis Colts are headed up north to take on Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills as a 7-point underdog in what should be an exciting game.

The weather won’t be horrible, but we could see a bit of rain on the back-end of this game with temperatures in the 40s.

All odds courtesy of BetPrep as of Friday, Nov. 19.

Buffalo Bills Props

Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen looks downfield in a 2021 road game.
Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

The Prop: Josh Allen Passing Yards vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Odds: Over 289.5 (-118)/Under 289.5 (-114)

This year, the Bills have been hit or miss on offense, which is clear when looking at Josh Allen’s game logs and trends. Allen has seen a few different coverages shake him this season, just like Patrick Mahomes, but the Bills defense has been able to cover more than Mahomes for a few of these struggles.

Allen has hit the over on this prop in 4 of 7 games, which I think will be the trend for the rest of the season. However, I believe this matchup and opposing coaching staff will not simply sell out to stop Allen and put their ideas on the back burner.

Allen has faced less-than-ideal conditions in Buffalo and is ready for the challenge. I have no reason to believe that the weather will be a factor in him covering this number or not. I love the spot and matchup for Allen here.

The Prop: Cole Beasley Receiving Yards vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Odds: Over 48.5 (-120)/Under 48.5 (-110)

Cole Beasley is dealing with a rib injury that led him to be limited last week. Even if Beasley does play, as I expect him to, I think this is a bad matchup for him.

Beasley has hit the under on this prop in five of his last eight games. I think this has to do with the emergence of Dawson Knox in the passing game this season. It could also be due to Buffalo’s willingness to rotate away from Beasley at times. At this point, I expect Beasley to play between 60-80% of the snaps. That workload isn’t enough for this prop in this game environment.

I also think that the Colts will attempt to apply some time management with their running game in this spot. Beasley needs play volume to get there, and he also prefers some of those hurry-up possessions. I think that the matchup is just bad for Beasley to get over this. This is one of the Buffalo Bills props where you should look to take the under.