If you’re on the hunt for predictions regarding Suns vs. Heat, look no further. The Heat are hitting the road to challenge the Suns on Friday, Jan 5 at 9:00 ET. Currently, the total is 229.5, with the Suns being favored by 4.5. Keep reading to get our Suns vs. Heat player props and predictions.
Suns vs. Heat Odds
- Spread: Suns -4.5
- Total 229.5
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Game Info
- Date: Friday, Jan 5
- Time: 9:00 ET
- Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix AZ
- TV: AZFa
Heat Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 107 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- Miami has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
Suns Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Suns have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past ten home matchups, Phoenix has an ATS record of 3-7 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Suns have a straight up record of 4-1, while going 2-3 against the spread.
Taking a Look at the Heat Chances in Phoenix
Coming into today’s matchup vs. the Suns, the Heat are looking to build on their above .500 record of 20-14. As of now, they are currently 4th in the Eastern Conference and are in 1st place in the Southeast division.
In their most recent game, the Heat’s offense scored 110 points, which is right around their season average of 112.9 points per game. Leading the way for the Heat in scoring against the Lakers was Tyler Herro, who finished with 21 points. Jaime Jaquez Jr. also chipped in 16 points.
So far this season, the Miami Heat have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 6th in points allowed per game at 111.5. On the road, they have been even better, giving up just 107.6 points per game, which is the best mark in the league.
When it comes to three-point shooting, opponents have made more threes than their season average in 58.8% of games vs. the Heat. Overall, Miami is 17th in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.6%.
One area where the Heat have struggled defensively is in the paint, as they are 25th in two-point shooting percentage allowed at 56.1%. They are also 30th in blocked shots per game at 3.3.
Can Phoenix Live Up to the Hype at Home?
In their last five games, the Suns have gone 4-1 and have an overall record of 18-16. Against Western Conference opponents, the Suns are 12-12 and are 6-4 in non-conference games.
In their last game, Phoenix put up 122 points against the Clippers. They shot 53.2% from the field and went 23/26 from the free-throw line. Kevin Durant leads the team in scoring with 29.9 PPG. Devin Booker is also a key contributor, averaging 26.7 PPG.
So far this season, the Suns have been a middle-of-the-pack defensive team, ranking 15th in points allowed per game at 114.1. They have been slightly better at home, where they are giving up 115.8 points per game (16th).
One area where Phoenix has excelled defensively is in blocking shots, as they are 5th in the NBA in that category at 6.4 per game. They have also done a good job of not fouling, ranking 22nd in personal fouls.
Over their last five games, the Suns have been even better on the defensive end, ranking 7th in points allowed at 111.6. During that stretch, they have been particularly stingy inside the arc, allowing opponents to shoot just 50.2% on two-point attempts.
Suns vs. Heat Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Devin Booker and his points prop of 26.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -110 while the under is at -120. Our projections have Devin Booker going 10/19 from the field on his way to 27 points. Our recommended bet is take the over on his prop bet with a payout of -110.
- The Prop: Devin Booker Over 26.5 Points (-110)
Suns vs. Heat Predictions
The Heat come in as the underdog at +4.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 229.5 and given that our model is projecting 230 points between the teams, we like the over.
The Pick: Heat +4.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook
