Saints vs. Falcons Player Props & Predictions – Sunday, Jan 7

New Orleans Saints quarterback Derek Carr (4) reacts with wide receiver Chris Olave (12) in the fourth quarter at Bank of America Stadium.
Image Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

If you’re on the hunt for predictions regarding Saints vs. Falcons, look no further. The Falcons are hitting the road to challenge the Saints on Sunday, Jan 7 at 1:00 ET. Currently, the total is 42, with the Saints being favored by 3. Let’s run through the Saints vs. Falcons player props and picks below.

Saints VS. Falcons Odds

  • Spread: Saints -3
  • Total 42

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Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Jan 7
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans LA
  • TV: CBS

Falcons Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Falcons have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Across the Falcons last five road games, the team averaged 16 points per game while allowing 21. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-4, while going 1-4 straight-up.
  • The Falcons have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Saints Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Saints have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Saints offense has averaged 22 points per game while allowing an average of 18. New Orleans posted an overall record of 5-5 while going 4-5-1 ATS.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Saints have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.

Taking a Look at the Falcons Chances on the Road

Taking on the Saints, the Falcons will look to improve on their record of 7-9. This mark has them in 3rd in the NFC-South and 12th in the NFC. Against the spread, the Falcons have a record of 5-11. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently -1.3.

In the previous game, the Falcons lost by a score of 37-17 against the Bears. With a 20-point loss, the Falcons added a loss to their ATS record as well. They were 3-point underdogs prior to the game. The over/under line for their game was set at 39 points, and the teams exceeded it with a combined total of 54 points.

On offense, Taylor Heinicke ended with 163 passing yards on a completion rate of 34%. On the ground, the Falcons ran the ball 24 times, amassing 134 yards. The team converted 4 third-downs at a rate of 30.8%.

Defensively, Atlanta is 9th in the NFL in points allowed. Their opponents have an average of 20.3 points per game while gaining 316.1 yards per contest.

Will the Saints Make it Happen at Home?

In their matchup against the Falcons, the Saints aim to build on their 8-8 record. This places them 2nd in the NFC-South and 9th in the NFC. The Saints currently hold a 5-10-1 record against the spread. Currently, their average scoring margin is +2.8.

After a 23-13 victory over the Buccaneers, the Saints are looking for another win in week 18. In addition to winning the game, the Saints managed to cover the spread as 2.5-point underdogs. In the Saints’ most recent game, the under bettors finished with the win as the teams combined for 36 points. The pre-game line was set at 42.5.

Facing the Buccaneers, the Saints rushed the ball 35 times, with Jamaal Williams leading the team with 58 yards. Derek Carr attempted 32 passes, accumulating 197 yards and a passer rating of 111.

On defense, the Saints are giving up an average of 200.8 passing yards per game and 122.5. In terms of sacks, New Orleans is 16th among other defenses, and they are giving up 19.4 points per game and 323.3 yards.

Saints vs. Falcons Player Props

The passing yards prop for Derek Carr against the Falcons is at 240.5. According to the odds, there’s a 54% probability of him exceeding this figure, with an under payout of -118.

Carr is ranked 11th among quarterbacks in passing attempts as he heads into the game. To date, he has thrown for 3614 yards while maintaining a completion rate of 67.9%. Considering that Atlanta’s defense has been able to apply pressure up-front so far, I’m taking the under on Carr’s passing prop.

  • The Prop: Derek Carr Under 240.5 Passing Yards (-118)

Saints VS. Falcons Predictions

New Orleans started as 3.5 point favorites at home, and the lines on the spread have moved to -3.

Even though Atlanta is coming off a bad performance vs. Chicago last week, we have them covering the spread this week vs. New Orleans.

The Pick: Falcons +3 | -107 at Fanduel Sportsbook