For each week of the NFL season, we provide the best Lamar Jackson prop bets. His next game is Sunday, December 31 against the Miami Dolphins.
Best Lamar Jackson Player Props Bets vs. Dolphins
In a pivotal Week 17 clash, Lamar Jackson leads the Baltimore Ravens against the Miami Dolphins in a game that could have significant playoff implications. Jackson’s dynamic playmaking ability both through the air and on the ground will be crucial as the Ravens look to solidify their position in the AFC. His performance will be under the microscope, as he faces a Dolphins defense that has shown vulnerability but also the capacity to step up in key moments.
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Lamar Jackson Over 35.5 Passing – Longest Pass (-120)
Lamar Jackson’s prop for the longest pass over 35.5 yards is a compelling pick for the over. Statistically, Jackson has surpassed this mark in 5 out of his last 10 games, and his season mean for the longest pass stands at 35.81 yards, indicating a tendency to connect on deep throws. Moreover, his home performance average for the longest pass is an impressive 42.14 yards, which is well above the line set for this prop. The narrative also supports this pick, as the Ravens’ offense under coordinator Todd Monken has been explosive, ranking fourth in points per game. With the Ravens’ deep receiving corps and Jackson’s strong arm, it’s likely that they will take shots downfield against a Dolphins defense that has been susceptible to big plays. This matchup presents an ideal scenario for Jackson to unleash a deep pass that exceeds the 35.5-yard threshold.
Lamar Jackson Over 14.5 Rushing – Longest Rushing Attempt (-120)
Choosing the over on Lamar Jackson’s longest rushing attempt at 14.5 yards is another strong pick. Jackson’s rushing ability is a key component of the Ravens’ offense, and he has a season mean of 14.25 yards for his longest rush, which is just shy of the prop line. However, his performance in the last five games shows an uptick, with an average longest rush of 15.0 yards, indicating recent success in breaking off longer runs. The Ravens’ top-ranked running game, combined with Jackson’s elusiveness and speed, makes him a constant threat to rip off a significant run at any moment. Against a Dolphins team that will be focused on containing Jackson’s passing threat, there may be opportunities for him to exploit gaps and exceed the longest rush prop. Additionally, the game’s high stakes may encourage Jackson to take more risks with his legs, further increasing the likelihood of a long run.
All Lamar Jackson Player Prop Picks for Sunday, Dec 31
| Player Name | Prop | Line | Over Rate | Over Odds | Under Odds | Last 10 Average | Projection | Our Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | Passing Attempts | 30.5 | 3/10 | -120 | -110 | 26.3 | 27.61 | Under |
| Lamar Jackson | Completions | 20.5 | 4/10 | -115 | -115 | 16.8 | 17.98 | Under |
| Lamar Jackson | Interceptions | 0.5 | 3/10 | +100 | -130 | 0.4 | 0.32 | Under |
| Lamar Jackson | Longest Pass | 35.5 | 5/10 | -120 | -110 | 35.7 | 37.31 | Over |
| Lamar Jackson | Passing Touchdowns | 1.5 | 4/10 | +135 | -175 | 1.4 | 1.20 | Under |
| Lamar Jackson | Passing Yards | 230.5 | 4/10 | -115 | -115 | 210.4 | 211.90 | Under |
| Lamar Jackson | Passing And Russhing Yards | 288.5 | 4/10 | -115 | -115 | 256.3 | 257.77 | Under |
| Lamar Jackson | Rushing Attempts | 9.5 | 4/10 | -120 | -110 | 8.2 | 8.61 | Under |
| Lamar Jackson | Rushing Yards | 53.5 | 4/10 | -115 | -115 | 45.9 | 46.84 | Under |
| Lamar Jackson | Longest Rushing Attempt | 14.5 | 4/10 | -120 | -110 | 13.8 | 13.80 | Under |
Lamar Jackson Stats for the 2023/24 NFL Season
- Passing Attempts Per Game
- Season: 27.25
- Home: 28.29
- Rushing Attempts Per Game
- Season: 8.88
- Home: 9.57
- Longest Rushing Attempt Per Game
- Season: 14.25
- Home: 13.71
- Passing Longest Pass Per Game
- Season: 35.81
- Home: 42.14
- Passing Completions Per Game
- Season: 18.06
- Home: 19.14
- Rushing Yards Per Game
- Season: 49.12
- Home: 57.14
- Passing and Rushing Yards Per Game
- Season: 258.94
- Home: 302.57
- Passing Yards Per Game
- Season: 209.81
- Home: 245.43
- Passing Touchdowns Per Game
- Season: 1.19
- Home: 1.29
- Passing Interceptions Per Game
- Season: 0.44
- Home: 0.57
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Dec. 31
- Time: 01:00 PM
- Location: M&T Bank Stadium – Baltimore, MD
- TV: CBS