Buccaneers vs. Jaguars Player Props & Predictions – Sunday, Dec 24

Oct 26, 2023; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) throws a pass in the fourth quarter against the Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium.
Image Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

For your Buccaneers vs. Jaguars player props and predictions needs, we’ve got you covered as the Jaguars hit the road to face the Buccaneers on Sunday, Dec 24 at 4:05 ET. Currently, the total sits at 41, with the Buccaneers favored by 3 at home.

Buccaneers VS. Jaguars Odds

  • Spread: Buccaneers -3
  • Total 41

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Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Dec 24
  • Time: 4:05 ET
  • Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay FL
  • TV: CBS

Jaguars Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Jaguars have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten road contests, the Jaguars offense has averaged 26 points per game while allowing an average of 18. Jacksonville posted an overall record of 8-2 while going 9-1 ATS.
  • The last three games that Jacksonville was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.

Buccaneers Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Buccaneers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • The Buccaneers are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • Against the spread, the Buccaneers have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 2-1 straight up.

Will the Jaguars Exceed Expectations on the Road?

With a record of 8-6, the Jaguars head into their week 16 matchup with Buccaneers in 1st place in the AFC-South. So far, they have gone 5-1 on the road and 3-5 at home. This season, the Jaguars find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 8-6. Their average scoring margin for this season stands at +0.4.

The Jaguars hosted the Ravens in their last game but lost by a score of 23-7. With their 16-point loss, the Jaguars were also handed a defeat on their ATS record. Going into the game, they were 4-point underdogs. The under hit in the Jaguars’ most recent game, where the teams’ combined total was 30 points. The line prior to the game stood at 42.5.

Offensively, Trevor Lawrence ended with 264 passing yards with a completion rate of 58%. The Jaguars ran the ball 17 times, gaining 75 yards. The team converted 3 of 13 third-down opportunities.

Jacksonville’s defense has come up with 25 turnovers so far this season. This figure has them 1st in the NFL. Heading into week 16, they are allowing 22.4 points per game and 360.1 yards.

Can the Buccaneers Offense Score Enough at Home?

With an overall record of 7-7, the Buccaneers are 1st in the NFC-South. This record also has them 4th in the NFC. At home, Tampa Bay is 3-3 compared to a record of 4-4 on the road. In terms of the spread, the Buccaneers hold a record of 9-5. This has come on an average scoring margin of +0.4.

In their previous game, the Buccaneers secured a victory against the Packers by a score of 34-20. While picking up the win, the Buccaneers also covered the spread as 3.5-point underdogs. With the over/under line set at 41.5 points, the over hit with a combined 54 points.

Against the Packers, the Buccaneers ran the ball 27 times, with Rachaad White as the top rusher, gaining 89 yards. Baker Mayfield attempted 28 passes, amassing 381 yards and a passer rating of 158.

Thus far, the Buccaneers’ defense has given up an average of 359.9 yards per game and 20.7 points per contest (12th). Going into this game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 66.0% and have surrendered 19 passing touchdowns. When it comes to run defense, they rank 9th in the NFL.

Buccaneers vs. Jaguars Player Prop

Against Jacksonville, Baker Mayfield’s passing yards prop is 235.5. Currently, the payout for going over this threshold is -115, while it’s -116 for staying under it. Thus far, Mayfield has thrown for 3315 yards while making 466 attempts. His completion rate for the season is 63.5%, and he holds a passer rating of 94.7. Even though Mayfield put together an awesome game last week, I don’t see him following that up and like the under at 235.5 passing yards.

  • The Prop: Baker Mayfield Under 235.5 Passing Yards (-116)

Buccaneers VS. Jaguars Predictions

Regarding the point spread lines, there has been some movement. Initially, Jacksonville opened as the 2.5-point favorite. However, the current favorite is Tampa Bay with a spread of 3.

Jacksonville’s secondary did a good job limiting Baltimore’s passing game in their previous game. Despite being 3-point underdogs on the road, I’m confident in their ability to cover against Tampa Bay.

The Pick: Jaguars +3 | -115 at Fanduel Sportsbook