The Nuggets host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday, Dec 16. Today’s game is set for 9:00 ET and will be shown on ALT. Denver comes into this game as 5-point favorites with the total set at 236. Keep reading to get our Nuggets vs. Thunder player props and predictions.
Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds
- Spread: Nuggets -5
- Total 236
Game Info
- Date: Saturday, Dec 16
- Time: 9:00 ET
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
- TV: ALT
Thunder Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Through their last three road contests, the Thunder offense has averaged 116 points per game while allowing an average of 119. Oklahoma City posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Thunder have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
Nuggets Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-2-1 vs. the spread.
- The Nuggets are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
- As the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.
Can Oklahoma City Pull Off a Road Win?
Heading into their game vs. the Nuggets, the Thunder have an overall record of 15-8 and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. At home, the Thunder are 8-4 compared to a 7-4 mark on the road this season.
Oklahoma City’s offense had a good outing, putting up 123 points against the Kings. They achieved a 43.1% field goal percentage and went 24/27 from the free-throw line. On the offensive front, the Thunder have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, ranking 4th in the NBA. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 3rd in terms of percentage and 14th in three-pointers made.
So far, the Thunder defense is giving up 113.5 points per contest, which has them sitting 14th in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in two straight matchups.
In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Thunder defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 51.1% while allowing 35.6% from downtown.
Will Denver Live Up to Expectations at Home?
In their last ten games, the Nuggets have gone 7-3. Overall, they are 17-9 and will be facing the Thunder. In the Western Conference, they are currently 2nd and are also 2nd in the Northwest division.
In their recent matchup, the Nuggets offense ended with 124 points against the Nets. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 47.5% and made 12 threes. Up to this point, the Nuggets’ offense has been efficient inside the arc, posting a two-point field goal percentage of 55%. In terms of pace, they are 28th in the NBA possessions per game (96.8).
Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 7th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.5 points per game.
When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Nuggets squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 52.0% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.9% from downtown.
Nuggets vs. Thunder Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and his points prop of 31.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -115 while the under is at -119.
In his matchup vs. the Nuggets, we are recommending to take the under on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and his prop of 31.5 points. Our player projection model has him falling short of his prop with a projected 26.
- The Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 31.5 Points (-119)
Nuggets vs. Thunder Predictions
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +5, the Thunder is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 236 and given that our model is projecting 222 points between the teams, we like the under.
The Pick: Thunder +5 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook