For each game of the NBA season, we provide the best Luka Doncic prop bets. Doncic’s next game is Monday, December 11 against the Memphis Grizzlies.
Best Luka Doncic Player Props Bets vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
As the Dallas Mavericks prepare to face off against the Memphis Grizzlies, all eyes are on Luka Doncic, who has been a statistical powerhouse this season. Despite the Mavericks’ injury woes, with key players like Kyrie Irving sidelined, Doncic’s performance remains crucial. His ability to score, rebound, and assist has kept Dallas competitive, and he’ll need to maintain his high level of play against a Grizzlies team that has had its own share of challenges this season.
Luka Doncic Over 9.5 Rebounds (-125)
Luka Doncic’s rebounding prop is set at 9.5, and there’s a compelling case for the over to hit. Statistically, Doncic is averaging 8.35 rebounds per game this season, which is just shy of the line. However, against the Grizzlies, he has historically performed well, averaging 12 rebounds in previous encounters. This suggests that when facing Memphis, Doncic steps up his game on the boards, likely due to the Grizzlies’ play style and the matchups he faces. Additionally, with the Mavericks missing several key players, Doncic’s role in the paint becomes even more critical, increasing the likelihood that he’ll be more active in rebounding to compensate for the team’s absences. The narrative and the statistical trends when facing Memphis both point towards an increased rebounding effort from Doncic in this matchup.
Luka Doncic Over 9.5 Assists (-105)
Turning our attention to Doncic’s assists, the line is set at 9.5. Doncic is averaging 8.65 assists per game this season, which is close to the prop line. However, his performance against the Grizzlies tells a different story, with Doncic dishing out an average of 12 assists in these matchups. This indicates that Doncic has a tendency to increase his playmaking against Memphis, possibly due to their defensive schemes or the way the game flows when these two teams clash. Furthermore, with the Mavericks’ current injury situation, Doncic is likely to take on an even greater share of ball-handling and playmaking responsibilities. His increased usage and the need to facilitate more for his team in the absence of other key playmakers like Irving could very well push his assist numbers over the prop line. The combination of his historical performance against the Grizzlies and the current team context makes the over on assists a strong pick.
All Luka Doncic Player Prop Picks for Monday, Dec 11
| Player Name | Prop | Line | Over Rate | Over Odds | Under Odds | Last 10 Average | Projection | Our Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | Points | 34.5 | 4/10 | -135 | +105 | 31.1 | 30.83 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | Rebounds | 9.5 | 4/10 | -125 | -105 | 8.3 | 8.78 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | Assists | 9.5 | 4/10 | -105 | -125 | 8.8 | 9.02 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | Three Pointers | 3.5 | 4/10 | -145 | +105 | 3.5 | 3.60 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | Points, Rebounds & Assists | 54.5 | 3/10 | -120 | -110 | 48.2 | 48.15 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | Points & Rebounds | 44.5 | 3/10 | -135 | +105 | 39.4 | 39.30 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | Points & Assists | 43.5 | 4/10 | -125 | -105 | 39.9 | 39.61 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | Rebounds & Assists | 19.5 | 3/10 | -105 | -125 | 17.1 | 17.89 | Under |
Luka Doncic Stats for the 2023/24 NBA Season
- Points Per Game
- Season: 31.85
- Away: 30.0
- vs. Memphis Grizzlies: 35.0
- Rebounds Per Game
- Season: 8.35
- Away: 7.36
- vs. Memphis Grizzlies: 12.0
- Assists Per Game
- Season: 8.65
- Away: 8.0
- vs. Memphis Grizzlies: 12.0
Game Info
- Date: Monday, Dec. 11
- Time: 08:00 PM
- Location: FedExForum – Memphis, TN
- TV: NBA TV