Here we go with our best college football bets for Week 12 of the NCAAF season, which will take place on Friday, November 24 and Saturday, November 25.
Our Props.com analysts were asked to list their top two NCAAF picks for the weekend. You can view each writer’s overall record in the section towards the bottom of this article.
Also, don’t forget to check out our College Football Parlay Picks article for Week 12, as some of these picks are also used in that article.
Best College Football Bets: Week 13
These best college football bets were compiled earlier in the week, so there’s a chance the lines have shifted since publishing this article.
Texas A&M/LSU Over 66.5 Points (-105)
Analyst: Justin Bales
LSU finally hit an under last week, but it wasn’t their fault. They barely stayed under and Georgia State missed several opportunities to score and hit the over.
LSU boasts an NCAA-best 10-1 over/under record in 2023. They’re beating the total by an average of 12.3 points per game. Texas A&M also leans toward the over in their game, posting a 6-5 over/under record. They’re beating the total by an average of 3.5 points per game.
Truthfully, I believe the spread tells us everything we need to know about this total. LSU doesn’t have a defense that is going to slow down any reasonable offense. Texas A&M ranks 18th in the NCAA in points per play (0.490) this season.
Essentially, LSU isn’t going to beat Texas A&M with their defense. What does that mean? They’re going to have to score the ball.
The Tigers are 11.5-point favorites in this game, and it’s difficult to believe they’re going to hold A&M under 30 points. That means they’d need roughly 42 points to beat the spread, giving us plenty of wiggle room.
Where to Bet: Texas A&M/LSU over 66.5 points | -105 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Memphis/Temple Over 63.5 Points (-110)
Memphis is a team that is extremely similar to LSU, although their offensive/defensive splits aren’t quite as drastic. Still, they boast a dominant offense with a defense that struggles to slow down their opponents. They’ve consistently hit the overs in their games.
Temple is a bad football team overall. They struggle both offensively and defensively. It’s impossible to trust their offense, but their defense is so bad that we know Memphis is going to find the end zone early and often.
The key behind trusting Temple is their pace. They play at one of the fastest paces in the NCAA. They’re going to push the pace once they get down a couple of scores, which could be early in this game.
It’s also important to note that the spread isn’t too wide here. Similar to Texas A&M, if Temple is going to keep this game close, they’re going to have to score the ball. We’re getting a reasonable number, and I’m banking on two more bad defenses.
Where to Bet: Memphis/Temple over 63.5 points | -110 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Iowa/Nebraska Under 25 (-110)
How low can you go? We’ve seen record lows these, and this one has reached a new low. Iowa doesn’t score, as they’re 121st in points allowed. Deacon Hill is their new quarterback, replacing Cade McNamara, who is injured. He hasn’t been much of an upgrade, as he only has one 200+ passing yard performance in six games as a starter.
Nebraska isn’t any better at 118th in scoring. They have an interchanging lineup of quarterbacks, including Chubba Purdy, Jeff Sims, and Heinrich Haarberg, where they run the triple option. Both teams will use the ground game as the bottom are top 20 in run play percentage, so look for a slow-paced game.
Where to bet: Iowa/Nebraska Under 25 | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Clemson/South Carolina Under 50 (-110)
Clemson isn’t playoff-bound or will even make the ACC championship, but they’re ending the season strong, winning three straight. The defense has been great, allowing 21 or fewer points in five of their last seven, with ten takeaways in their last three games.
Cade Klubnik has been improving and along with Phil Mafah and Will Shipley being great in the run game. This season for South Carolina has mirrored their 2022 season; they started off horribly but finished strong. This year was worse by starting the season 2-6, but with three straight wins, they’re now just a win away from bowl eligibility. Both teams are playing some great football at the moment, especially on defense. look the under.
Where to bet: Clemson/South Carolina Under 50 | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Best College Football Bets: Results
- Justin Bales: 11-13
- John Supowitz: 10-14
More College Football Bets & Props
Props.com has plenty of NCAAF picks and predictions for Week 6, including the following: