Here we go with our best college football bets for Week 12 of the NCAAF season, which will take place on Saturday, November 18.
Our Props.com analysts were asked to list their top two NCAAF picks for the weekend. You can view each writer’s overall record in the section towards the bottom of this article.
Also, don’t forget to check out our College Football Parlay Picks article for Week 12, as some of these picks are also used in that article.
Best College Football Bets: Week 12
These best college football bets were compiled earlier in the week, so there’s a chance the lines have shifted since publishing this article.
Georgia State/LSU Over 71 Points (-110)
Analyst: Justin Bales
Where to Bet: Over 71 points | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook
We’ve been printing money on LSU’s overs throughout the season, and I’m not stopping this week. They own a 10-0 over/under record, and they’re the only team hitting 100% of their overs in 2023. They’re also beating the total by an average of 14.1 points.
Georgia State’s been an average team in terms of the total. They enter this game with a 5-5 over/under record this season. They’re failing to beat the total by an average of 1.7 points per game as well.
Quite frankly, Georgia State isn’t in the same league as LSU. The Tigers should be better basically everywhere, but they still don’t have a defense that is going to dominate any offense in the NCAA.
The big key here is that Georgia State is going to push the pace. There should be plenty of big plays available on both sides, and the pace will give both teams more opportunities to find success.
LSU features an offense that can post 50+ points, specifically in this type of matchup, meaning Georgia State won’t need all that much offensive success to beat the total.
UCLA/USC Over 65.5 Points (-105)
Analyst: Justin Bales
Where to Bet: Over 65.5 points | -105 at FanDuel Sportsbook
USC is one of the best over teams in the NCAA this season. They enter this game with a 9-2 over/under record through 11 games. They’re also beating the total by an average of 11.5 points per game.
UCLA has been the opposite this season. They own only a 2-8 over/under record in 2023. They’re also hitting the under by 11.9 points per game.
These two teams are complete opposites. USC features one of the best offenses in the NCAA, but they haven’t been able to stop anyone defensively. UCLA, on the other hand, boasts one of the best defenses, but they haven’t been able to sustain their offense.
The key is that USC hasn’t been able to slow anyone down this season. After Week 2 against Stanford, they’ve allowed 28+ points in eight consecutive games. They’re allowing 41.1 points per game over that span.
On the other end, USC has shown the ability to score against most defenses. They were held to only 20 points against Notre Dame, but they’ve posted 27+ points against everyone else. They’ve also scored 40+ points in 7 of their 10 games.
I do believe there is some risk, but I prefer USC’s offense over UCLA’s defense, and I don’t believe the Trojan’s defense is going to be able to slow down even a bad Bruins offense.
Oregon -23.5 vs. Arizona State (-112)
Analyst: John Supowitz
Where to bet: Oregon -23.5 | -112 at DraftKings Sportsbook
The Ducks have a 6-1 conference record, and they control their destiny to reach the PAC-12 championship. The offense led by Bo Nix is incredible as they lead the nation in points per game, but some credit needs to go to the defense as they’re 12th in points allowed.
There isn’t much for the Arizona State to hang their hats on, but they did come away with a road upset against UCLA last week. The Sun Devils have been solid defensively, which has kept them competitive in games, the biggest problem is injuries, specifically at quarterback, and they have had four different starters this season. That will be difficult when on the other side is the current Heisman Trophy favorite.
This will be an easy victory for the Ducks.
UNLV/Air Force Under 47 (-110)
Analyst: John Supowitz
Where to bet: Under 47 | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook
What a turnaround for UNLV. The team has not had a winning season since 2013, and their last eight-win season was in 2000.
True freshman Jayden Maiava has been great with a 65.8% completion percentage and 8.9 yards per completion. This offense excels in the run game, where they’re 21st with 195.7 yards per game.
Air Force is so good on the ground because that’s all they do. They lead the nation with 549 carries, and are last in pass play percentage. UNLV is far behind and is 116th in pass play percentage. This will be slow-paced with very few possessions, and this is too high of a total.
Best College Football Bets: Results
- Justin Bales: 11-11
- John Supowitz: 9-13
More College Football Bets & Props
Props.com has plenty of NCAAF picks and predictions for Week 6, including the following: