The Buffalo Bills are heading to Jacksonville to take on Urban Meyer, Trevor Lawrence, and the Jaguars on Sunday afternoon. The Bills are significant favorites in this one, and that definitely has an impact on the props that are posted.
That being said, we have seen the Bills be pretty aggressive here, so it’s not as big of a factor as it normally could be.
Cole Beasley OVER 5.5 Receptions
This is one of my favorite bets of the entire week, assuming that Dawson Knox is out as I expect him to be. This won’t move much regardless of that news, so I would suggest waiting to get that confirmed.
Cole Beasley is clearly the security blanket for Josh Allen, and he is almost an extension of the run game to a certain degree with a bunch of short routes over the middle.
Beasley has seen his snap share fluctuate throughout the season, but that should not happen without Knox in the game because we should see 3 WRs in the game at all times if not 4. Beasley will be open all the time against the Jags, and I expect a big game here.
Josh Allen OVER 33.5 Rushing Yards
Josh Allen is 5-2 on this prop this season, and I think that the number is just a bit low with the rushing attempts that Allen throws up on a weekly basis. Allen’s two games under this number were both in highly competitive games, meaning the game script really hasn’t impacted the rushing ability from Allen.
While the blowout would often mean being careful with the QB, Allen simply has no regard, so that isn’t an issue for me at all. I expect 7-10 carries for Allen, and that should be more than good enough to hit this number and then some.
