Padres vs. Dodgers Predictions, Odds & Picks (Friday, May 5)

Baseball Odds Explained: Clayton Kershaw #22 of the Los Angeles Dodgers in action against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on April 25, 2023 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
(Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)

We have a terrific pitching matchup on deck as the San Diego Padres will host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday, May 5. First pitch for this NL West matchup is scheduled for 9:40 pm ET while airing on MLB.TV. The Dodgers enter this game as -120 moneyline favorites with the total set at 7.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Padres vs. Dodgers predictions below.

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds

  • Spread: Dodgers -120
  • Total: 7.5

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Game Info

  • Date: Friday, May 5
  • Time: 9:40 pm ET
  • Location: Petco Park – San Diego, CA
  • TV: MLB.TV

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Starting Pitchers

  • Padres: RHP Yu Darvish (1-2, 3.60 ERA)
  • Dodgers: LHP Clayton Kershaw (5-1, 1.89 ERA)

Padres Betting Trends

  • Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
  • Under is 6-2 in Padres last 8 overall.

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Dodgers Betting Trends

  • Over is 10-2 in Dodgers last 12 overall
  • Dodgers are 1-5 in their last 6 Friday games.

Padres vs. Dodgers Predictions

Clayton Kershaw has been remarkable to begin the season. The 35-year-old lefty holds a shiny 1.89 ERA after allowing only eight earned runs across 38 innings pitched this season. In his last start (Saturday, April 29), Kershaw allowed only two hits in seven shutout innings (nine strikeouts) against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Over his last three starts, Kershaw has given up only one earned run and eight hits across 20 innings pitched. That came against some quality offenses too in the New York Mets, Chicago Cubs, and Cardinals respectively.

Now he’ll face a dangerous Padres lineup that has scored six or more runs in four of their last five games.

Padres pitcher Yu Darvish is no slouch either, especially at home, where he held a 2.60 ERA last year. This will be his first meeting against the Dodgers in 2023, but Darvish looked good against them in 2022, allowing two or fewer earned runs in three of four starts. In fact, Darvish threw 6+ scoreless innings in two of those starts. Both were in Petco Park, where he’ll be pitching under the lights tonight.

Despite San Diego scoring plenty of runs lately, the Padres have gone under the total in six of their last eight games. This may seem like an obvious choice, but the under makes for a very strong play with a pair of reliable pitchers on the mound.

It helps that we are getting plus-money (+105) at PointsBet when taking under 7.5. New users can use promo code PROPS to claim up to $250 in second-chance bets.

The Pick: Under 7.5 | +105 at PointsBet