It all comes down to this. The NBA Finals are here, and you better believe our Warriors vs Celtics player props are here as well.
We’ve made it to Game 6 of the Finals, which means we’ll have our first potential elimination game of the series. The Warriors hold on to a 3-2 series lead, so they can secure their fourth championship in eight years with a victory on Thursday. However, the Celtics have the benefit of homecourt advantage, and they’re listed as four-point favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Let’s dive into four of my favorite Warriors vs Celtics player props for Game 6.
Odds via DraftKings and updated as of 3 p.m. ET on June 15.
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Warriors vs Celtics Player Props
Boston Celtics SG Marcus Smart
The prop: 15.5 points
The odds: Over -120
The Celtics are coming off back-to-back losses, and Smart has been at his best following a Celtics’ loss. He’s suited up six times after the Celtics have suffered a postseason loss, and he’s scored at least 18 points in each contest. That includes Game 5 at Golden State, where he had 20 points on 7-15 shooting.
Smart has logged at least 39.4 minutes in three straight games, and he should see at least that much playing time with the Celtics facing elimination. The Celtics will also have the benefit of home court, so they have a higher scoring expectation than they did in their last game as well.
Look for Smart to keep his scoring ways on Thursday.
Boston Celtics C Robert Williams
The prop: 16.5 points + rebounds
The odds: Over +100/Under -120
The time between Finals games is excruciating for NBA fans – do we really need three days in between every game? But it has been a relief for Williams. Williams suffered a knee injury at the end of the regular season, and it wasn’t known if he’d suit up in the postseason. He has been able to tough things out despite limitations in the early playoff rounds.
The additional rest has allowed Williams to absorb a larger role of late. He’s played at least 30.2 minutes in back-to-back games, and he has been arguably the Celtics’ best player. Boston lost both of those contests by 10 points, but the Celtics are a combined +17 with Williams on the floor over that span. He’s had a massive impact on the defensive end of the floor, and he’s also racked up plenty of counting stats. He managed seven points and 12 boards in Game 4, and he followed that up with 10 points and eight boards in Game 5.
I’m not expecting much to change in Game 6. If anything, Williams could be looking at a few additional minutes. The Celtics’ small-ball lineup of Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, and Al Horford has gotten crushed of late, so Williams could be the counter that the Celtics need to force a Game 7.
Golden State Warriors SG Klay Thompson
The prop: 3.5 made 3-pointers
The odds: Over -125
We successfully rode this prop in Game 5, and we’re going right back to the well on Thursday. Thompson is getting plenty of shots up from behind the arc during this series, attempting at least 10 3-pointers in three straight games. He’s knocked down at least four triples in each of those contests, and he’s a career 41.7% shooter from downtown.
With that in mind, there’s no reason this prop should still be at 3.5. The over has been juiced up to -125, but I’ll gladly play it at that number.
Golden State Warriors SF Andrew Wiggins
The prop: 7.5 rebounds
The odds: Over -140
This is another prop that has become a standard for us of late. Wiggins has rewarded us with at least 13 rebounds in back-to-back games, and there’s no reason to expect anything different in Game 6.
The Warriors’ rotation has looked different over the past two games, which should continue to benefit Wiggins on the glass. The team moved Kevon Looney to the bench in favor of Otto Porter, and Wiggins has increased his rebound rate with Looney off the floor during the postseason.
Draymond Green has also played fewer minutes during this series, which also benefits Wiggins on the glass. This line has been jacked up significantly, but there’s still plenty of value with the over. Wiggins should play well over 40 minutes in this contest, so I think he should be able to hit double-digit rebounds for the third straight game.
