If you’re on the hunt for predictions regarding Nuggets vs. Timberwolves, look no further. The Timberwolves are hitting the road to challenge the Nuggets on Monday, May 6 at 10:00 ET. Currently, the total is 207, with the Nuggets being favored by 5.5. Keep reading to get our Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props and predictions.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds
- Spread: Nuggets -5.5
- Total 207
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Monday, May 6
- Time: 10:00 ET
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
- TV: TNT
Timberwolves Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 5-0 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 118 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
- Minnesota has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
Nuggets Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- The Nuggets are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
- As the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Denver posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.
The Timberwolves picked up a 106-99 win over the Nuggets in the most recent game of this series. Minnesota was a 4.5-point underdog heading into the game, and they easily covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was 209.5 points, and the teams fell 4.5 points short of that total.
Anthony Edwards had a big game for the Timberwolves, finishing with 43 points on 58.6% shooting. Karl-Anthony Towns was the other player for Minnesota with 20 points. Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets with 32 points, and Michael Porter Jr. had 20. Both teams shot the ball well from three, with the Nuggets hitting 41.9% of their threes, and the Timberwolves hitting 40.7%.
Can Minnesota Pull Off a Road Win?
Minnesota is the 3rd seed in the Western Conference with a record of 56-26. In the West, they are 37-15 against other teams in the conference and 19-11 against non-conference opponents.
The Timberwolves have won five straight games and are 45-41 against the spread this season. As the underdog, they have covered the spread in three straight games and are 12-10 as the underdog.
This season, Minnesota has an O/U record of 45-42, and their games have averaged 219.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 207, and the team’s games have averaged 220.5 points per game.
In their last game against the Nuggets, the Timberwolves won 106-99 as 4.5-point underdogs. The teams combined for 205 points, and the O/U line was 209.5.
Minnesota comes into the game as the NBA’s 8th best shooting team, hitting 48% of their field goal attempts this season. Their three-point shooting percentage of 38% is the 3rd best mark in the league, but they are just 16th in three-point attempts. For the season, the Timberwolves are averaging 113 points per game, which is 18th in the league.
Anthony Edwards is averaging 33.4 points per game over his last five games, hitting 53.2% of his shots from the field. In these games, he also averaged 7.8 rebounds and 5.6 assists. Karl-Anthony Towns has hit 52.4% of his threes in his last five games and 2.2 threes per game. For the season, he is averaging 21.8 points and 8.3 rebounds.
When it comes to defense, the Timberwolves have been the best in the league this season, allowing just 106.3 points per game. This is a team that has been able to lock down opponents both at home and on the road, ranking 1st in points allowed per game in both categories.
Minnesota has been particularly effective at defending the three-point line, ranking 4th in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 35.7%. Opponents have made fewer threes than their season average in 75.6% of games against the Timberwolves.
One area where Minnesota has struggled a bit has been free throws, as they come in 21st in made free throws allowed per game at 22.1. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, the Timberwolves are also 1st in the league at 45.2%.
Do the Nuggets Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?
In terms of their over/under record, the Nuggets are 35-51-2 for the season. The team has hit the under in their last two games and today’s O/U line is set at 207 points. On average, Denver’s games have seen 223.7 points scored.
Denver is 40-46 against the spread this season, including an ATS record of 22-22 at home. The team has failed to cover the spread in their last three home games and is favored by 5.5 points today.
The Nuggets are 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 57-25. In the West, they are 33-19 against other conference teams and 24-6 in non-conference games.
Looking at the Nuggets’ last game, they lost to the Timberwolves by a score of 106-99. This loss also dropped their ATS record vs. Minnesota to 0-3 this season. In that game, the O/U line was 209.5 points.
Overall, the Nuggets have gone 6-5 vs. the spread as the underdog this season. As the favorite, their ATS record is 34-41, and they have gone 56-21 straight-up as the favorite. In their last three games as the favorite, they are 0-3 vs. the spread.
Denver comes into the game as one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, with a team three-point shooting percentage of 38.8%. They are also near the top of the league in field goal percentage, as their team mark of 49% is the 4th best clip in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 114.9 points per game for the season, which is 14th in the league.
Looking at the Nuggets’ last five games, Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.2 points, 15.4 rebounds, and 10.2 assists. Michael Porter Jr. has hit 51.2% of his threes in that stretch and 54.1% of his shots overall, leading to 23 points and eight rebounds. Jamal Murray is averaging 22.6 points and six assists in his last five games but has hit just 40.9% of his shots.
When it comes to defense, the Denver Nuggets have been one of the best units in the NBA this season. They are currently 6th in the league in points allowed per game at 109.4. Over their last five games, they have given up an average of 107 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA during that stretch.
One area where the Nuggets have been particularly stingy is from beyond the arc. They are 2nd in the league in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 35.1%. Over their last five games, they have been even better, holding opponents to just 32.4% from three-point range.
Overall, opponents have made fewer threes than their season average in 75.6% of games vs. the Nuggets this season. In terms of total points allowed, Denver has given up fewer than their opponents’ season average in 78.0% of games.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Nikola Jokic and his points prop of 29.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -102 while the under is at -118. Considering his prop is set at 29.5, our model recommends taking the over, as we expect him to finish with 30. We anticipate him shooting 60.0% from the field and making one three.
- The Prop: Nikola Jokic Over 29.5 Points (-102)
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Predictions
Coming in as the underdogs at +5.5, we have the Timberwolves as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 207, and our model predicts the Timberwolves and Nuggets to score a combined 225 points. We recommend betting on the over.
The Pick: Timberwolves +5.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook