Need a Spurs vs. Nuggets prediction? We’ve got what you need, as the Nuggets hit the road to face the Spurs on Friday, Apr 12 at 8:00 ET. The current total stands at 222.5, with the Nuggets being favored by 12.5 as they play on the road. Check out our Spurs vs. Nuggets player props and predictions.
Spurs vs. Nuggets Odds
- Spread: Nuggets -12.5
- Total 222.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Friday, Apr 12
- Time: 8:00 ET
- Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio TX
- TV: BSSW
Nuggets Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across their three previous road games, Denver has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 108 points per game.
- The Nuggets have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
Spurs Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Spurs have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, San Antonio has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 105 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
- As the betting underdog, the Spurs have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. San Antonio posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.
Will the Nuggets Secure A Victory as Road Favorites?
In their most recent game, the Nuggets defeated the Timberwolves by a score of 116-107. The over/under line for that game was 213 points.
Denver has won three straight games and is currently in 1st place in the Western Conference with a record of 56-24. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 32-18 compared to 24-6 against the East.
On the road, the Nuggets are 23-16 this season and have an average scoring differential of +0.4 points per game. Their ATS record on the road is 16-22.
Against the Western Conference, the Nuggets are 52-18 as the favorite and 37-41 ATS overall. Today, they are favored by 12.5 points and have a 32-36 ATS record as the favorite.
The average O/U line in Denver’s games this season is 225.8, and the average combined scoring total is 224.1. So far, their O/U record for the season is 32-46-2.
When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are 14th in the league at 114.7 points per game. However, they have struggled to score on the road, averaging just 110.6 points per game away from home.
Denver is one of the most efficient shooting teams in the NBA, ranking 4th in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also 9th in two-point shooting percentage (56%).
Despite being 3rd in assists, the Nuggets are just 28th in pace at 96.1 possessions per game. In terms of free throws, Denver is 29th in both attempts and makes.
This season, the Nuggets defense has been impressive, holding the 6th position in the league while permitting an average of 109.4 points per contest. For the season, Denver is ranked 22nd in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 22.2 free-throws per game vs. the Nuggets and have an overall field goal percentage of 46.3%.
Is a Home Win Possible for San Antonio?
The Spurs have an O/U record of 40-39-1 this season, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line of 222.5 is lower than their season average of 231.9 points per game.
In their last game against the Thunder, the Spurs lost by a score of 127-89. They were 17-point underdogs going into the game, and the O/U line was 231 points.
In terms of their ATS record, the Spurs are 42-38 this season, including a record of 20-19 at home and 22-19 on the road. As underdogs, they are 36-36 ATS this season and have failed to cover in their last two games.
San Antonio is currently 15th in the Western Conference with a record of 20-60. In the Southwest Division, they are in 5th place. The Spurs are 13-37 against Western Conference opponents and 7-23 in non-conference games.
Today, the Spurs are 12.5-point underdogs at home. This season, they have been the underdog in 72 of their 80 games. As the underdog, their scoring margin is -9.1 points per game.
Despite their below-average scoring numbers this season, the Spurs have been one of the most efficient teams in the league, ranking 2nd in pace and 2nd in assists. They have also been an above-average team at home, averaging 113.8 points per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Spurs have been one of the most aggressive teams in the league, ranking 11th in three-point attempts. However, they have struggled with their three-point shooting overall, hitting just 34% of their attempts.
On the season, the Spurs have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 43.8% of their games. They are also currently on a two-game streak of scoring less than their season average.
On defense, the Spurs come into the game ranked 25th in the league in points allowed at 118.9 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 115.7 points per contest (5th). In the terms of takeaways, Spurs are causing 14.6 turnovers per game, ranking 28th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 3rd in rejections, averaging 6.4 blocked shots each game.
Spurs vs. Nuggets Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Nikola Jokic and his points prop of 27.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -121 while the under is at -113. Our model predicts that Nikola Jokic will finish with 25 points, 12 rebounds, and 9. As for his points prop, we favor the under at 27.5.
- The Prop: Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 Points (-113)
Spurs vs. Nuggets Predictions
For a pick on the point-spread in this Nuggets vs. Spurs matchup, our bet is to grab the Spurs at +12.5. Even though our projections have the Nuggets winning 112-104, we see the Spurs as the play on the point-spread.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 222.5 and given that our model is projecting 216 points between the teams, we like the under.
The Pick: Spurs +12.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook