The Nuggets are ready to clash with the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday, Mar 25. Today’s matchup is set to tip off at 9:00 ET and will be televised on ALT. Denver enters this game as 15-point favorites, and the over/under total is currently at 214. Can the Nuggets pull this one out as the favorite? Below you will find our Nuggets vs. Grizzlies predictions.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Odds
- Spread: Nuggets -15
- Total 214
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Monday, Mar 25
- Time: 9:00 ET
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
- TV: ALT
Grizzlies Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Although Memphis has a straight up record of 3-7 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-4. The team averaged 105 points per game in these games.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
Nuggets Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 4-0-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three home matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 111 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- As the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Denver posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.
Can the Memphis Offense Score Enough on the Road?
Today, the Grizzlies are 15-point underdogs on the road against the Nuggets. This season, Memphis has been the underdog in 55 of their 71 games.
As the underdog, the Grizzlies have gone 30-25 ATS on the road and have an average scoring differential of -7.7 points per game. On average, their games have finished with a combined scoring total of 218.5 points.
In their last game, the Grizzlies picked up a 99-97 win over the Spurs. They were 6.5-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 216 points.
Memphis is currently 13th in the Western Conference with a record of 24-47. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 14-32 and 8-7 against their division. On the road, the Grizzlies are 16-20.
This season, the Grizzlies have an O/U record of 33-37-1. In 59 of their games, the O/U line has been higher than today’s line of 214. The team’s games have averaged 221.4 points per game.
The Grizzlies have covered the spread in six straight games, and their overall ATS record is 35-36. On the road, they are 21-15 compared to 14-21 at home.
When it comes to scoring, the Grizzlies are one of the worst teams in the league, averaging just 105.9 points per game (30th). Interestingly, they have actually been better on the road, averaging 108.5 points per game compared to 103.3 at home.
So far this season, Memphis has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 21.1% of their games. They are shooting just 43% from the field, which is the worst mark in the league.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Grizzlies are 5th in attempts but just 29th in percentage. Overall, they are 29th in true shooting percentage.
Currently, the Grizzlies’ defense holds the 10th rank in the NBA, allowing 112.6 points per game. Opponents are hitting 54.1% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 37.6% of their three-point attempts.
Can the Nuggets Grab a Win at Home?
As the favorite, the Nuggets have won three straight games and have a record of 46-15 as the favorite this season. Today, they are favored by 15 points and have gone 27-32 ATS as the favorite.
Denver’s O/U record for the season is 28-41-2, and the over has hit in each of their last three games. On average, their games have finished with 224.7 points, compared to today’s line of 214.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets defeated the Trail Blazers by a score of 114-111. The O/U line for that game was 209.5, and Denver was favored by 10.5 points.
Overall, the Nuggets are 50-21 this season, which is the best record in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 28-15 and 8-5 against other teams in the Northwest Division.
The Nuggets have won four straight games at home and have an average scoring margin of +9.4 points per game at home. Against the spread at home, they are 17-16 compared to 15-21 on the road.
This season, the Nuggets have been a high-scoring team at home, averaging 118.8 points per game (10th in the NBA). Overall, they are 14th in scoring at 114.6 points per game.
Denver’s offense is one of the most efficient in the league, ranking 5th in field goal percentage at 49%. In terms of pace, the Nuggets are 28th in the NBA.
When it comes to three-point shooting, Denver is 12th in three-point percentage but ranks last in three-point attempts. They are 28th in free throw attempts and 29th in free throws made.
Coming into the game, the Nuggets’ defense has finished two straight games with an increased number of points allowed. Overall, they are 7th in the league at 110.1 points per game allowed. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Nuggets are forcing 11.7 per game, which is 5th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 11th in blocked shots at 5.5 per game.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Jaren Jackson Jr. and his points prop of 22.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -110 while the under is at -120. With his prop line at 22.5, our model indicates that taking the over is the way to go as we project him to end up with 25. We foresee him having a field goal percentage of 42.1% and connecting on two threes.
- The Prop: Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 22.5 Points (-110)
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Predictions
For a point-spread bet in this Grizzlies vs. Nuggets matchup, we’re leaning towards the Grizzlies at +15. Although our projections show the Nuggets winning 109-102, we suggest placing your bet on the Grizzlies for the point-spread.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 214 and given that our model is projecting 211 points between the teams, we like the under.
The Pick: Grizzlies +15 | at Fanduel Sportsbook