The Warriors are set to face the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday, Mar 20. The game is scheduled for 10:00 ET while airing on ESPN. Golden State enters this game as 10.5-point favorites with the total set at 219.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Warriors vs Grizzlies predictions below.
Warriors vs. Grizzlies Odds
- Spread: Warriors -10.5
- Total 219.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Wednesday, Mar 20
- Time: 10:00 ET
- Location: Chase Center, San Francisco CA
- TV: ESPN
Grizzlies Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across their ten previous road games, Memphis has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 105 points per game.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
Warriors Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- Across their ten previous home games, Golden State has an ATS mark of 8-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 118 points per game.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting favorite, the Warriors have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
Can the Grizzlies Offense Score Enough in San Francisco?
Memphis is looking to snap a three-game losing streak after losing to the Kings by a score of 121-111. The Grizzlies were 11.5-point underdogs in that game and have now covered the spread in two straight games.
This season, the Grizzlies have an average over/under line of 221.5 points, which is higher than today’s line of 219.5. In their last three games, the over has hit.
As underdogs, Memphis has gone 29-24 against the spread this season and 17-36 straight-up. In their last three games as underdogs, they are 2-0 ATS.
Against Western Conference teams, the Grizzlies are 13-31 this season and are currently in 13th place in the West. In non-conference games, they are 10-15 compared to 7-7 against other Southwest Division teams.
On the road, Memphis is 15-19 this season with an average scoring differential of -5.8 points per game. At home, their scoring differential is -7.3 points per game.
Despite being one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, the Grizzlies are last in three-point shooting percentage at 34%. Overall, Memphis is 30th in field goal percentage at 43%.
On average, the Grizzlies are scoring 105.9 points per game this season, which is the 30th in the NBA. However, they are actually scoring more on the road (108.5 PPG) compared to at home (103.3 PPG).
So far this season, Memphis has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 20.3% of their games. In terms of free throws, the Grizzlies are 23rd in made free throws per game (16.2) and 20th in free throw attempts (21.2).
On defense, the Grizzlies come into the game ranked 10th in the league in points allowed at 112.4 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 116.3 points per contest (9th). Memphis’ defense is currently forcing 14.3 turnovers per game, which is 26th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 4th in blocked shots, with an average of 6.2 rejections per game.
Will the Warriors Win at Chase Center?
Golden State’s ATS record at home is 14-20, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last three games at home. As the favorite, they are 21-22 ATS this season.
In terms of their O/U record, the Warriors are 33-33-1 for the season. The over has hit in their last two games, and 64 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s (219.5).
In their most recent game, the Warriors lost to the Knicks by a score of 119-112. The O/U line for that game was 211.5, and Golden State was favored by 6.5 points going into the game.
This season, the Warriors are 10th in the Western Conference with a record of 35-32. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 18-23 compared to 17-9 against non-conference opponents.
Today’s Game
As 10.5-point favorites, the Warriors are looking to bounce back from their loss to the Knicks. So far, they have a record of 28-15 as the favorite and have gone 21-22 ATS in those games.
Golden State’s games this season have averaged a combined 235.1 points per game, and today’s O/U line is set at 219.5. On average, their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s (232.4).
At home this season, the Warriors are averaging 117.6 points per game (11th) compared to their overall average of 118.3 points per game (7th). So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 59.7% of their games.
Golden State’s offense has been one of the best three-point shooting teams in the league, ranking 2nd in three-pointers made per game at 14.8. Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc (7th).
When it comes to pace, the Warriors are 7th in the NBA at 100 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 5th in the league with an average of 29 per game.
Currently, the Warriors’ defense holds the 19th rank in the NBA, allowing 116.8 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Warriors’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.6% and allowing 35.8% from beyond the arc.
Warriors vs. Grizzlies Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Desmond Bane and his points prop of 23.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -110 while the under is at -120. With his prop at 23.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 27. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.6% and knocking down four threes.
- The Prop: Desmond Bane Over 23.5 Points (-110)
Warriors vs. Grizzlies Predictions
In this Grizzlies vs. Warriors matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Grizzlies at +10.5. While we project the Warriors to win 110-101, our recommendation is to bet on the Grizzlies for the point-spread.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 219.5, and our model predicts the Grizzlies and Warriors to score a combined 211 points. We recommend betting on the under.
The Pick: Grizzlies +10.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook