Best Luka Doncic Prop Bets vs. Miami Heat – Thursday, March 07

Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) reacts against the Phoenix Suns in game seven of the second round for the 2022 NBA playoffs at Footprint Center.
Image Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

For each game of the NBA season, we provide the best Luka Doncic prop bets. Doncic’s next game is Thursday, March 07 against the Miami Heat.

Best Luka Doncic Player Props Bets vs. the Miami Heat

As the Dallas Mavericks prepare to host the Miami Heat, all eyes are on Luka Doncic, the Mavericks’ superstar who has been on a scoring tear despite the team’s recent struggles. Doncic’s multifaceted game has him leading his team in points, rebounds, and assists, and his performance will be critical in this matchup. With the Mavericks looking to snap a three-game losing streak and Doncic’s recent stats indicating a high level of play, his contribution will be a key factor in determining the outcome of the game.

Luka Doncic Over 43.5 Points & Assists (-115)

Luka Doncic has been in exceptional form recently, especially in terms of scoring and playmaking. His season average for points and assists combined is 44.37, which is comfortably above the line of 43.5 set for this game. Over the last 10 games, Doncic has averaged 45.9 points and assists, hitting the over 60% of the time. This trend suggests that he is not only maintaining his season-long productivity but has actually been exceeding it as of late. Additionally, when playing at home, Doncic’s average for points and assists combined is 45.11, which further supports the likelihood of him covering the over on this prop.

Luka Doncic Over 19.5 Rebounds & Assists (-125)

The second prop where Doncic is likely to hit the over is in rebounds and assists. The line is set at 19.5, and Doncic’s performance in the last five games has seen him averaging 23.0 in these categories, indicating a strong trend towards surpassing the prop threshold. Moreover, his last 10 games average stands at 20.7, with a 70% hit rate for the over. Given that Doncic is also the team’s leading rebounder, his ability to contribute significantly in both facets of the game makes it a promising bet that he will exceed the prop line once again, especially in a crucial game where his all-around contributions will be vital for the Mavericks’ success.

All Luka Doncic Player Prop Picks for Thursday, Mar 07

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection Our Pick
Luka Doncic Points 33.5 5/10 -105 -125 34.8 34.07 Over
Luka Doncic Rebounds 9.5 5/10 +100 -130 9.6 9.59 Under
Luka Doncic Assists 10.5 6/10 -115 -115 11.1 10.91 Over
Luka Doncic Three Pointers 3.5 6/10 +100 -130 3.5 3.56 Under
Luka Doncic Points, Rebounds & Assists 53.5 6/10 -105 -125 55.5 54.72 Over
Luka Doncic Points & Rebounds 42.5 5/10 -120 -110 44.4 43.72 Over
Luka Doncic Points & Assists 43.5 6/10 -115 -115 45.9 45.09 Over
Luka Doncic Rebounds & Assists 19.5 7/10 -125 -105 20.7 20.50 Over
Luka Doncic NaN 1.5 6/10 -175 +135 1.8 2.00 Over
Luka Doncic NaN 3.5 5/10 -150 +120 3.9 4.13 Over
Luka Doncic NaN 1.5 4/10 +105 -135 1.3 1.20 Under
Luka Doncic NaN 0.5 3/10 +124 -160 0.5 0.53 Under

Luka Doncic Stats for the 2023/24 NBA Season

  • Points Per Game
    • Season: 34.61
    • Home: 34.79
    • vs. Miami Heat: nan
  • Rebounds Per Game
    • Season: 8.94
    • Home: 9.14
    • vs. Miami Heat: nan
  • Assists Per Game
    • Season: 9.76
    • Home: 10.32
    • vs. Miami Heat: nan

Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, Mar. 07
  • Time: 07:30 PM
  • Location: American Airlines Center – Dallas, TX
  • TV: TNT