Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Feb. 29

Oct 28, 2023; Montreal, Quebec, CAN; Winnipeg Jets center Cole Perfetti (91) plays the puck against the Montreal Canadiens during the third period at Bell Centre
Image Credit: David Kirouac-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Winnipeg Jets hit the road to face the Dallas Stars.

The Dallas Stars (35-17-9) are set to host the Winnipeg Jets (37-15-5) in a high-stakes showdown at the American Airlines Center. With both teams neck-and-neck in the Central Division, this matchup could be a decisive factor in the playoff race.

Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars Odds Info

Moneyline: Winnipeg Jets +115 (BetMGM) / Dallas Stars -135 (BetMGM)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Winnipeg Jets -230 (Bet365) / Dallas Stars +190 (Bet365)

Total: 6.0 – -115 (Bet365) / -105 (Bet365)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Feb. 29

Time: 08:00 PM

Location: American Airlines Center – Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN+

Winnipeg Jets Betting Trends

  • This season, the Winnipeg Jets have hit 25 overs and 32 unders.
  • On the road this season, the Winnipeg Jets have hit 11 overs and 16 unders.
  • As the underdog this season, the Winnipeg Jets have hit 7 overs and 11 unders.

Dallas Stars Betting Trends

  • This season, the Dallas Stars have hit 36 overs and 25 unders.
  • At home this season, the Dallas Stars have hit 22 overs and 7 unders.
  • As the favorite this season, the Dallas Stars have hit 32 overs and 19 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the last two seasons, the Dallas Stars and Winnipeg Jets have faced off a total of five times, with their matchups spanning from October 2022 to November 2023. During these encounters, the Dallas Stars emerged victorious in three games, while the Winnipeg Jets claimed two wins. When it comes to the performance against the spread, the Stars have outperformed the Jets, covering the spread in three of the five games, compared to the Jets’ two. The majority of these games have tended to be lower-scoring affairs, with the under hitting four times, and only one game going over the set over-under line. In terms of game locations, the visiting team has had the upper hand, securing three wins compared to the home team’s two. The statistics also reveal a pattern of strong defensive play, with both teams frequently recording a significant number of blocked shots and hits across the games. The faceoff win percentage has been evenly matched in most games, indicating a competitive edge in puck possession. The goaltending performances have been notable as well, with both teams’ goalies contributing to the tight scorelines, particularly in games where the final score spread was narrow.

The most recent game between the Dallas Stars and Winnipeg Jets took place on November 28, 2023, and ended with a 2-0 victory for the Stars. In this game, the Stars’ Joe Pavelski and Tyler Seguin were the only players to find the back of the net, with Pavelski scoring in the second period and Seguin sealing the win in the third. The Stars’ goaltender, Jake Oettinger, played a pivotal role in the victory, stopping all 27 shots he faced and earning a shutout. The Jets, despite their efforts, were unable to capitalize on their power play opportunities, failing to score during their four chances with the man advantage. The game was characterized by a strong defensive effort from both sides, with the Stars blocking 15 shots and the Jets blocking 17. The physicality was also evident, with the Stars recording 12 hits and the Jets 17. Faceoffs were evenly split, with each team winning 23, further highlighting the closely contested nature of the game. The Stars’ ability to kill penalties effectively and maintain a solid defense throughout the game was a key factor in their shutout win.

Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars Predictions

The Dallas Stars, currently on a 2-game losing streak, are looking to regain their footing as they face off against the Winnipeg Jets, who are flying high on a 4-game winning streak. The Stars, led by Matt Duchene with 23 goals and Jason Robertson with 58 points, have shown offensive prowess throughout the season but will need to tighten their defense to contain the Jets’ attack. The Stars’ home record of 17-8-4 suggests they have the advantage on their own ice, but they’ll need to be vigilant against a Jets team that has been successful on the road with a 16-8-3 record.

The Jets come into this game with momentum, led by Kyle Connor’s 24 goals and Mark Scheifele’s 52 points. Their offensive depth has been a key to their success, with Josh Morrissey contributing 39 assists from the blue line. The Jets’ defense, which has been solid, will be tested by the Stars’ high-scoring offense. Both teams have been relatively even in faceoff win percentages and have demonstrated strong goaltending, which could make for a tight contest with potentially low scoring if both netminders are on top of their game.

This game not only features a battle for divisional positioning but also showcases some key player matchups. The Stars’ Robertson and the Jets’ Connor are two of the league’s top wingers and their performance could tip the scales in favor of their respective teams. Additionally, the goaltending duel between the Stars’ Jake Oettinger and the Jets’ Connor Hellebuyck could be a deciding factor in the outcome. With both teams looking to secure a crucial win, this promises to be an intense and strategic battle on the ice.

Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars Pick

Given the current trends and the offensive capabilities of both the Dallas Stars and the Winnipeg Jets, the Over on a total line of 6.0 goals seems to be the most compelling pick for this matchup. The Stars have hit the over in 36 of their games this season, with a particularly strong tendency to go over at home, where they have hit 22 overs against just 7 unders. This suggests that they are comfortable and confident in their scoring ability on home ice. Additionally, the Jets have been on a scoring spree, hitting the over in 4 of their last 5 games, showcasing their ability to find the back of the net consistently. With key offensive players like Robertson and Connor in excellent form, there’s a high likelihood of a goal-heavy game.

While the historic head-to-head data indicates a pattern of unders between these two teams, the current form and momentum of both sides suggest a departure from this trend. The Jets’ winning streak and the Stars’ need to bounce back from their losing streak set the stage for an aggressive offensive approach from both teams. Moreover, the stakes of the game in terms of divisional rankings add to the likelihood of a high-scoring affair, as neither team will want to leave points on the table. Considering these factors, the Over is a justified pick for this Central Division showdown.

The Pick: Over 6.0 -105 (Bet365)

Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Winnipeg Jets

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Sean Monahan Shots On Goal 1.5 8/10 -180 +140 2.7 2.61
Kyle Connor Points 0.5 7/10 -215 +165 1.2 1.14
Nino Niederreiter Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -180 +140 2.5 2.43