Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Feb. 08

TAMPA, FL - APRIL 13: Brayden Point #21 of the Tampa Bay Lightning against the Detroit Red Wings during the first period at Amalie Arena on April 13, 2023 in Tampa, Florida.
Image Credit: Mark LoMoglio/NHLI via Getty Images

We have your Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Lightning hit the road to face the New York Islanders.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (27-19-5) are set to face off against the New York Islanders (21-17-12) in a highly anticipated Eastern Conference clash. With both teams fighting for playoff positioning, this matchup promises to be a critical juncture in their respective seasons.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders Odds Info

Moneyline: Tampa Bay Lightning +120 (DraftKings) / New York Islanders -139 (BetRivers)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Tampa Bay Lightning -200 (BetMGM) / New York Islanders +175 (BetRivers)

Total: 6.5 – -112 (DraftKings) / +102 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Feb. 08

Time: 08:00 PM

Location: UBS Arena – Elmont, NY

TV: ESPN

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

  • This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 25 overs and 26 unders.
  • On the road this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 11 overs and 15 unders.
  • As the underdog this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 11 overs and 11 unders.

New York Islanders Betting Trends

  • This season, the New York Islanders have hit 30 overs and 20 unders.
  • At home this season, the New York Islanders have hit 14 overs and 11 unders.
  • As the favorite this season, the New York Islanders have hit 11 overs and 12 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the last two seasons, the Tampa Bay Lightning and the New York Islanders have faced off three times, with Tampa Bay emerging victorious in two of those encounters while the Islanders claimed one win. These matchups have seen the home team consistently come out on top, with all three games won by the side hosting the contest. When it comes to betting statistics, Tampa Bay has managed to cover the spread in two of the games, whereas the Islanders have done so once. The total score has tended to be on the higher side, with the Over hitting twice, indicating that more goals were scored than the Over-Under line set by bookmakers, while the Under hit once, suggesting fewer goals were scored than expected. Key statistics from these games show that the Lightning have demonstrated strong offensive capabilities, particularly in the game on October 22, 2022, where they scored five goals against the Islanders. The Islanders, on the other hand, showcased a dominant performance in their most recent game against the Lightning, with a final score of 6-1.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on April 6, 2023, where the New York Islanders decisively defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning with a score of 6-1. The Islanders’ victory was characterized by a strong offensive showing, with the team outshooting the Lightning 42-31. The game remained scoreless in the first period, but the Islanders broke through in the second period with four goals and added two more in the third. The Lightning’s sole goal came from Nikita Kucherov, assisted by Brayden Point. The Islanders’ Adam Pelech, Brock Nelson, Kyle Palmieri, Ryan Pulock, Simon Holmstrom, and Bo Horvat all contributed to the scoring, with Nelson having a particularly impactful game with a goal and two assists. The Islanders also had a higher faceoff win percentage at 60.9%. The game solidified the Islanders’ ability to capitalize on their home-ice advantage and demonstrated their capacity to control the game’s pace and outcome.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders Predictions

The Lightning, coming off a narrow loss, are looking to rebound and solidify their standing in the Atlantic Division. Despite recent setbacks, Tampa Bay’s offense is powered by the dynamic Nikita Kucherov, who leads the team with an impressive 86 points. The Lightning’s ability to find the back of the net will be crucial, as they face an Islanders team that has shown resilience and a knack for close games under the guidance of their new head coach, Patrick Roy.

The Islanders, on the other hand, are coming into this game with a victory that has provided a much-needed boost. Mathew Barzal and Brock Nelson have been key contributors, with Barzal’s playmaking and Nelson’s goal-scoring prowess leading the charge. The Islanders’ defensive game has seen improvement as well, with the team tightening up and goaltender Ilya Sorokin returning to form. This defensive solidity will be tested against the high-scoring Lightning.

This game not only features a battle between two playoff-hopeful teams but also showcases a duel between star players. Kucherov’s offensive talents will be pitted against Barzal’s all-around game, making for an exciting player matchup. Additionally, both teams’ recent performances in back-to-back games could play a factor, with the Lightning looking to improve their road record and the Islanders aiming to capitalize on their home-ice advantage at UBS Arena.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders Pick

The matchup between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the New York Islanders presents a compelling case for the Over. The Lightning’s offensive firepower, led by Nikita Kucherov, has been consistently strong, and despite a recent loss, they have the capability to bounce back with a high-scoring performance. The Islanders have also shown they can put up numbers, as evidenced by their recent 6-1 victory, where they demonstrated their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. With both teams pushing for a playoff spot and the Over hitting in two of the last three head-to-head matchups, the trend suggests another high-scoring affair is on the horizon.

Furthermore, the Islanders’ improved defensive play under coach Patrick Roy could paradoxically lead to more goals. As they tighten up defensively, it may force the Lightning to be more aggressive offensively, potentially leading to power-play opportunities and counter-attacking chances for the Islanders. The Over has been a common occurrence for the Islanders this season, hitting 30 times, and with the total line set at 6.5, the game environment is ripe for both teams to contribute to a score that exceeds that threshold. Considering these factors, the Over is the more convincing pick for this Eastern Conference showdown.

The Pick: Over 6.5 +102 (BetRivers)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Nikita Kucherov Assists 0.5 8/10 -238 +180 1.5 1.47
Brandon Hagel Points 0.5 8/10 -145 +114 1.2 1.14

New York Islanders

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Bo Horvat Shots On Goal 2.5 8/10 -166 +130 3.7 3.69
Noah Dobson Assists 0.5 7/10 -130 +100 1.4 1.20
Noah Dobson Points 0.5 7/10 -166 +130 1.4 1.20
Ilya Sorokin Goaltending – Goals Against 2.5 7/10 -140 +110 3.1 3.24