Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Jan. 11

We have your Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Toronto Maple Leafs hit the road to face the New York Islanders.

The Toronto Maple Leafs (21-10-7) are set to face off against the New York Islanders (18-12-10) in a clash of Eastern Conference rivals. With the Maple Leafs on a four-game winning streak and the Islanders looking to snap a two-game skid, this matchup promises to be a battle of momentum at UBS Arena.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders Odds Info

Moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs -130 (DraftKings) / New York Islanders +114 (FanDuel)

Puck Line: +1.5 – Toronto Maple Leafs +185 (DraftKings) / New York Islanders -210 (FanDuel)

Total: 6.5 – +100 (Bet365) / -108 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Jan. 11

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: UBS Arena – Elmont, NY

TV: ESPN

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

• On the road this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 11 wins and 8 losses.
• As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 18 wins and 16 losses.
• This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 21 overs and 17 unders.

New York Islanders Betting Trends

• At home this season, the New York Islanders have 10 wins and 11 losses.
• As the underdog this season, the New York Islanders have 8 wins and 14 losses.
• This season, the New York Islanders have hit 26 overs and 14 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the New York Islanders have faced off four times, with the Islanders winning three of those encounters and the Maple Leafs securing a single victory. These matchups have seen the home team emerge victorious on three occasions, while the visiting team has only claimed one win. When it comes to betting statistics, the New York Islanders have proven to be the more reliable pick against the spread, covering it in three out of the four games, whereas the Maple Leafs have only managed to do so once. In terms of the over/under market, bettors would have found value in betting on the ‘over’ as it has hit three times, with only one game going ‘under’ the total score line. Key statistics from these games reveal that the Islanders have shown a consistent ability to outscore the Maple Leafs, with a notable 7-2 victory on March 21, 2023, where they managed to score seven goals to Toronto’s two. The Maple Leafs, on the other hand, have demonstrated resilience, particularly in their ability to force overtime in the most recent game, despite ultimately losing.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on December 11, 2023, and it was a tightly contested affair that ended in a 4-3 overtime victory for the New York Islanders. The game began with Auston Matthews of the Maple Leafs scoring the opening goal, but the Islanders quickly responded with two goals from Brock Nelson and Casey Cizikas to take the lead. The Islanders extended their lead to 3-1 with a goal from Kyle Palmieri in the second period, but John Tavares of the Maple Leafs narrowed the gap to 3-2. A last-second goal by Morgan Rielly sent the game into overtime, where Bo Horvat of the Islanders scored the winning goal just 46 seconds into the extra period. The Islanders’ goalie, Ilya Sorokin, made 37 saves on 40 shots, boasting a save percentage of 0.925, while the Maple Leafs’ Ilya Samsonov saved 25 out of 29 shots, with a save percentage of 0.862. Despite the loss, the Maple Leafs outshot the Islanders 40 to 29 and had more power play time, indicating a strong offensive effort.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders Predictions

The Toronto Maple Leafs are riding high on a four-game winning streak, showcasing their offensive prowess and solid goaltending from Martin Jones. With star players like Auston Matthews and William Nylander leading the charge, the Maple Leafs have been a force to reckon with, especially on the road where they have an impressive 11-3-5 record. Their recent performances have seen them climb up the Atlantic Division standings, now sitting comfortably in third place.

The New York Islanders, on the other hand, have hit a rough patch, losing four of their last five games. Despite this, they remain a competitive side in the Metropolitan Division, largely thanks to the efforts of players like Brock Nelson and Mathew Barzal. The Islanders will be looking to their home advantage and the support of their fans at UBS Arena to turn the tide and get back to their winning ways. Defensively, they will need to step up their game to contain the high-flying Maple Leafs’ offense.

This game will feature a key player matchup between the Maple Leafs’ top scorer William Nylander and the Islanders’ leading defenseman Noah Dobson, who has been contributing significantly to the team’s offense from the blue line. With both teams boasting strong offensive talents, it will be interesting to see which team can gain the upper hand defensively to secure the win. The Maple Leafs will aim to continue their dominance on the road, while the Islanders will look to leverage their home ice to disrupt Toronto’s winning streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders Pick

The Toronto Maple Leafs enter this matchup as the team in form, boasting a four-game winning streak that has been underpinned by their offensive firepower and the resurgence of goaltender Martin Jones. With a road record of 11-3-5, the Maple Leafs have demonstrated their ability to perform away from home, a crucial factor in this encounter. The Islanders, while formidable at UBS Arena, are currently in a slump, having lost four of their last five games. The Maple Leafs’ recent dominance, coupled with the Islanders’ defensive struggles, suggests that Toronto has the edge in this matchup. Additionally, the Maple Leafs’ top players like Auston Matthews and William Nylander have been consistently finding the back of the net, which could prove too much for the Islanders’ defense to handle.

While the historic head-to-head favors the Islanders, the current form and momentum are heavily on the side of the Maple Leafs. The Islanders have indeed shown the ability to cover the spread against Toronto in past meetings, but the Maple Leafs’ recent performances indicate a team that has found its rhythm and is clicking on all cylinders. Given the odds and the Maple Leafs’ impressive road record, backing Toronto on the moneyline is the prudent choice. The Islanders may have the home advantage, but the Maple Leafs’ star talent and current form are likely to prevail, making them the right pick for this game.

The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -130 (DraftKings)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Toronto Maple Leafs

New York Islanders