The Chiefs are slight underdogs in a projected high-scoring Super Bowl. Kansas City’s high-powered offense is built for a shootout, namely their elite passing attack. Their rocket-armed quarterback and superstar pass-catcher have two of my favorite Chiefs player props. Additionally, a seldom-used runner has the third eye-catching prop.
Kansas City Chiefs Player Props: Super Bowl 57
For a full list of Eagles vs. Chiefs player props and odds, check out our dedicated page for NFL player props.
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Patrick Mahomes Over 288.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Patrick Mahomes had an MVP-caliber regular season. According to Pro-Football-Reference, he led the NFL in passing yards per game (308.8). Mahomes had more than 288.5 passing yards 12 times in 19 contests. Further, he passed for 326 yards against Cincinnati’s talented pass defense last week. Coincidentally, his passing yardage against the Bengals last week was his median outcome this year.
Mahomes has also been a monster in the postseason and indoors. First, he’s averaged 300.2 passing yards per game in 13 games in the playoffs. Yet, that mark surges to 308.9 passing yards per game if you exclude his Divisional Round performance this year when he missed significant time because he had a high-ankle sprain. Mahomes also had more than 288.5 passing yards in seven of 13 playoff games.
Second, Mahomes has averaged 320.4 passing yards per game in 11 games played in a dome or stadium with a retractable roof. The lack of weather concerns is perfect for Mahomes’ passing outlook. Finally, the Eagles have rarely been tested by quality quarterbacks this year. Yet, Aaron Rodgers and Jordan Love combined for 253 passing yards on only 25 attempts in Week 12, and Dak Prescott torched them for 347 passing yards on only 35 attempts in Week 16. Therefore, Mahomes can shred them.
Where to bet: Patrick Mahomes Over 288.5 Passing Yards | -115 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Travis Kelce Over 78.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
The Chiefs haven’t had the same one-two punch in their passing game this season. Instead, Travis Kelce has been the unquestioned alpha, with a rotating cast of Robins to his Batman.
The 33-year-old tight end averaged 6.5 receptions and 78.7 receiving yards per game this year. Including the postseason, he had more than 78.5 receiving yards 10 times and a median outcome of 81 receiving yards.
Kelce’s also been an unstoppable force in the playoffs. In his career, he’s averaged 86.3 receiving yards per game in 17 games in the playoffs, and he’s averaged 104.4 receiving yards per game in eight games in the postseason since 2020.
The matchup isn’t too shabby, either. According to The 33rd Team and data from Sports Info Solutions, the Eagles allowed the 10th-most receiving yards per game (54.9) in the last eight games of the regular season. Heck, even with San Francisco’s nightmare quarterbacking situation last week, George Kittle reeled in three receptions for 32 receiving yards on four targets. As a result, I’ll take the over for Kelce’s receiving prop of 78.5 receiving yards on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Where to bet: Travis Kelce Over 78.5 Receiving Yards | -114 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Jerick McKinnon Under 21.5 Rushing Yards (-119)
The Chiefs are underdogs, prefer to pass in all game scripts, and Jerick McKinnon is behind rookie Isiah Pacheco in the pecking order for ball-carrying duties. McKinnon’s had no more than five carries in four of his last five games. The outlier was an 11-carry performance in the Divisional Round. Probably not coincidentally; that was the game when Mahomes hurt his ankle.
Jet ran just four times for one yard last week, and he’s had under eight in four of his last five. Moreover, per Pro-Football-Reference, McKinnon played under 40% of Kansas City’s offensive snaps in two of the last three games.
The veteran running back averaged only 17.1 rushing yards per game in the regular season. He also had fewer than 21.5 rushing yards 11 times in 19 games this year and sported a median outcome of 12 rushing yards. McKinnon’s specialty is catching passes, not running the ball. So, hopping on his under for 21.5 rushing yards is exciting.
Where to bet: Jerick McKinnon Under 21.5 Rushing Yards | -119 at Caesars Sportsbook
