Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Tuesday, Feb. 27

William Karlsson (71) skates against the Dallas Stars during the third
Image Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Vegas Golden Knights hit the road to face the Toronto Maple Leafs.

The Vegas Golden Knights (32-19-7) are set to face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs (33-16-8) in a high-stakes matchup at Scotiabank Arena. With both teams in the thick of playoff positioning, this game could have significant implications for the postseason landscape.

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Odds Info

Moneyline: Vegas Golden Knights +140 (PointsBet) / Toronto Maple Leafs -170 (PointsBet)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Vegas Golden Knights -170 (PointsBet) / Toronto Maple Leafs +140 (FanDuel)

Total: 6.5 – -120 (DraftKings) / +102 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: Tuesday, Feb. 27

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: Scotiabank Arena – Toronto, ON

TV: ESPN+

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Vegas Golden Knights have 13 wins and 15 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Vegas Golden Knights have 13 wins and 10 losses.
  • This season, the Vegas Golden Knights have hit 27 overs and 31 unders.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 15 wins and 12 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 28 wins and 21 losses.
  • This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 33 overs and 24 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Vegas Golden Knights and the Toronto Maple Leafs have faced off three times, with the Golden Knights emerging victorious in two of those encounters. The first meeting took place on October 24, 2022, where Vegas secured a home win with a score of 3-1. The second game on November 8, 2022, saw the Golden Knights win again, this time as the visiting team, with a final score of 4-3 after overtime. The most recent clash on February 22, 2024, ended with a decisive 7-3 victory for the Maple Leafs at Vegas. In terms of betting statistics, Vegas covered the spread in two of the three games, while Toronto covered once. The total score went over the set Over-Under line twice and under once. Key statistics from these matchups show a trend of high-scoring games, with the total score exceeding the Over-Under line in two out of three games. The Maple Leafs demonstrated a strong offensive presence in their latest win, with a significant number of shots on goal and a high conversion rate.

The most recent game on February 22, 2024, was a showcase of the Toronto Maple Leafs’ offensive prowess as they dominated the Vegas Golden Knights with a 7-3 victory on the road. The Maple Leafs outshot the Golden Knights 42 to 26, with a notable performance from Max Domi, who scored twice. Auston Matthews also contributed to the win with a tip-in goal. The Maple Leafs’ penalty kill was effective, not allowing any power play goals. Martin Jones, the goaltender for Toronto, saved 23 out of 26 shots, ending the game with a save percentage of 0.885. Despite being the underdog with a closing moneyline of -108, Toronto managed to cover the spread of 1.5, and the total score of 10 comfortably surpassed the closing Over-Under of 6.5. This victory marked a significant rebound for the Maple Leafs, who had lost the previous two games against the Golden Knights.

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions

The Golden Knights, despite a recent 3-game losing streak, are looking to regain their earlier season form that saw them at the top of the Pacific Division. Jonathan Marchessault leads the team with 30 goals, and the Knights will need his offensive prowess along with contributions from their defense, led by Alex Pietrangelo, to overcome a Maple Leafs team that has been on fire with a 7-game winning streak. Vegas will need to tighten up their defense, which has struggled recently, allowing an average of over 3 goals per game during their skid.

Toronto, on the other hand, has been clicking on all cylinders, with Auston Matthews leading the charge with an impressive 52 goals this season. Alongside him, Mitchell Marner and William Nylander have been key contributors, helping the Leafs to the third rank in their division. The Leafs’ offense has been particularly potent, and their power play is nearly unstoppable, scoring at a staggering pace over the past 10 games. However, they will need to be wary of their penalty kill, which has been less effective.

This game will feature a key matchup between the Golden Knights’ goaltending, likely Adin Hill, who has struggled recently, against the Leafs’ top scorers. On the other side, the Leafs’ goaltending duo of Ilya Samsonov and Martin Jones will need to be sharp to fend off Vegas’ attack. With both teams boasting strong offensive talents, this matchup could come down to which team is able to capitalize on their opportunities and which goaltender can make the crucial saves to secure the win.

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Pick

The Toronto Maple Leafs are on a seven-game winning streak, showcasing their offensive strength and depth. With Auston Matthews leading the league in goals and the team’s power play operating at an almost unprecedented level, the Leafs have the momentum and the firepower to continue their winning ways. The Maple Leafs’ recent performance, particularly their ability to cover the spread and exceed the Over-Under line, indicates a team that is not only winning but doing so convincingly. Despite the Vegas Golden Knights’ potential for a bounce-back game, Toronto’s current form is too strong to bet against, especially on home ice where they have been formidable.

While the Golden Knights have the talent to make this a competitive game, their recent struggles, particularly in goal with Adin Hill’s recent performances, suggest they may have difficulty containing the Leafs’ top scorers. Additionally, the historic head-to-head data shows that the Maple Leafs have the capability to put up big numbers against Vegas, as evidenced by their last meeting. Given the current odds and the Leafs’ recent trends, including their strong performances as favorites, a moneyline bet on Toronto is the more compelling choice for this matchup.

The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -170. (PointsBet)

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
William Karlsson Points 0.5 7/10 -160 +124 0.8 0.80
Jonathan Marchessault Points 0.5 7/10 -130 +100 1.1 1.01
Nicolas Roy Points 0.5 7/10 +114 -145 0.8 0.80