Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Friday, Feb 23

Dec 25, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Nuggets guard Jamal Murray (27) reacts in the fourth quarter against the Golden State Warriors at Ball Arena.
Image Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

If you’re on the hunt for predictions regarding Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets, look no further. The Nuggets are hitting the road to challenge the Trail Blazers on Friday, Feb 23 at 10:00 ET. Currently, the total is 218.5, with Nuggets being favored by 9.5. Check out our Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets player props and predictions.

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets -9.5
  • Total 218.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Friday, Feb 23
  • Time: 10:00 ET
  • Location: Moda Center, Portland OR
  • TV: ROOT

Nuggets Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 105 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an overall record of 4-1 while going 2-3 against the spread.

Trail Blazers Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Trail Blazers have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last three home contests, Portland has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 0-3, while averaging 103 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Portland has an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.

Will the Nuggets Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?

Denver is favored by 9.5 points today and has been the favorite in 48 of their 56 games. As the favorite, the Nuggets have gone 35-13 straight-up and 20-26 ATS, with an average scoring differential of +5.2 points per game.

As the favorite, Denver has gone 20-26 against the spread and has an overall ATS record of 23-31. On the road, they are 10-18 ATS compared to 13-13 ATS at home.

On average, Denver’s games have seen a combined scoring total of 225 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 218.5. This season, 49 of their games have had higher O/U lines than 218.5.

In their last game against the Wizards, the Nuggets won by a score of 130-110, covering the spread as 15.5-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was 233 points.

Overall, Denver has a record of 37-19, which is 4th in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 20-13 and 4-5 against teams in the Northwest Division.

In non-conference games, the Nuggets are 17-6 and have gone 15-14 on the road. Their straight-up road record is 15-14, and they are 10-18 ATS on the road.

When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are 18th in the league at 114.2 points per game. However, their offense has been much better at home, where they are 9th in the NBA at 119.1 points per game. On the road, Denver is averaging 109.7 points per game.

So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 44.6% of their games. In terms of pace, Denver is 29th in the league at 96.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets are 8th in the NBA in field goal percentage at 49%. From beyond the arc, Denver is 15th in three-point shooting at 36%. Overall, they are 2nd in two-point field goals made per game.

In the current season, the Nuggets defense has excelled, sitting 6th in the NBA by allowing 110.8 points per game. The Nuggets defense is coming off a game in which they held the Wizards offense to just 55.4% shooting. Overall, they gave up 110 points to Washington.

Will Portland Secure A Victory as Home Underdogs?

As underdogs, the Trail Blazers have gone 14-35 this season and are 25-29 ATS overall. In their last five games, they are 3-0 ATS on the road and 2-2 ATS on the road.

In their last game, the Blazers lost to the Timberwolves by a score of 128-91. The O/U line for that game was 216 points, and Portland was getting 9.5 points as the underdog.

Portland’s O/U record for the season is 24-29-1, and the over has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 224.6 points.

In the Western Conference, the Trail Blazers are currently in 14th place with a record of 15-39. Against the West, they are 6-31 and 1-11 against their division. At home, they are 9-17 compared to 6-22 on the road.

When playing at home, the Trail Blazers are averaging 110.0 points per game, which is 28th in the NBA. Overall, they are 29th in the league in scoring at 107.9 points per game. So far this season, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 25.9% of their games.

Portland has struggled with their shooting this season, ranking 30th in field goal percentage at 44%. They are also last in the league in true shooting percentage. In terms of pace, the Blazers are 20th in the NBA at 98 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Blazers are 25th in the league at 35%. In terms of three-point attempts, they are 18th in the NBA. For the season, Portland is averaging 11.8 made three-pointers per game, which is 23rd in the league.

On the defensive side, Trail Blazers is currently hovering around the NBA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 116.7 points per game. Portland’s defense is currently forcing 14.1 turnovers per game, which is 26th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 23rd in blocked shots, with an average of 4.6 rejections per game.

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Nikola Jokic and his points prop of 24.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -121 while the under is at -113. Based on our projections, Nikola Jokic is expected to go 10/18 from the field, resulting in 26 points. We recommend taking the over on his prop bet, which offers a payout of -121.

  • The Prop: Nikola Jokic Over 24.5 Points (-121)

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Predictions

Our bet is on the Nuggets for a win, and we project the score to be 121-106. Additionally, we expect them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to wager on the Nuggets with the spread at -9.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 218.5 and our model has the Nuggets and Trail Blazers finishing with a combined 227 points. Our pick is to take the over.

The Pick: Nuggets -9.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook