The Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks will matchup on Thursday, May 30. Tip-off for the game is 8:30 ET and will be shown on TNT. Minnesota is favored by 5 points in this game, and the total is 209.5. Who do we think will come out on top? Keep reading for our top Timberwolves vs. Mavericks player props and predictions.
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Player Props Special
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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Odds
- Spread: Timberwolves -5
- Total 209.5
Game Info
- Date: Thursday, May 30
- Time: 8:30 ET
- Location: Target Center, Minneapolis MN
- TV: TNT
Mavericks Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across the Mavericks last ten road games, the team averaged 104 points per game while allowing 105. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 7-3, while going 7-3 straight-up.
- The Mavericks have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.
Timberwolves Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- Across the Timberwolves last ten home games, the team averaged 110 points per game while allowing 105. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 7-3, while going 7-3 straight-up.
- The last ten games that Minnesota was favored, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 5-5 straight up.
Can the Mavericks Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?
In their games this season, the Mavericks have averaged a combined 229.8 points per game compared to today’s O/U line of 209.5. Out of their 82 games, 91 have had higher O/U lines than this one.
Dallas has a 45-53-0 O/U record this season, and their games have averaged a combined scoring line of 231.2 points. This is the 6th time this year that their O/U line has been lower than 209.5.
Currently, the Mavericks are 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 50-32. In non-conference games, they are 19-11 compared to 31-21 against Western Conference opponents.
As the underdog, the Mavericks have gone 17-20 this season. On the road, their ATS record as the underdog is 20-17, and they have covered the spread in their last four games as the underdog.
Dallas’ last game was also against the Timberwolves, and they lost by a score of 105-100. The Mavericks were favored by 1.5 points in that game, and they are 38-23 ATS as the favorite this season.
In that last game, the teams combined for 205 points, which was below the O/U line of 211.5. The Mavericks’ ATS result in that game was a loss.
Dallas comes into the game as the league’s 4th ranked team in three-point shooting, at 36%. They are also 4th in three-point attempts and makes. Luka Doncic is averaging 31 points per game over his last five games on a field goal percentage of 45.7%. In these games, he hit 4.2 threes per game. For the season, he is averaging 33.9 points, 9.8 assists, and 9.2 rebounds.
Overall, the Mavericks are averaging 117.9 points per game this season, which is 9th in the league. Looking at their pace, they are 14th in the league. Dallas has been below the league average in terms of scoring efficiency in 57.3% of their games this year.
Pressure Builds for Minnesota as Home Favorites
In their last game against the Mavericks, the Timberwolves won as 1.5-point underdogs by a score of 105-100. The combined scoring in that game was 205 points, which was below the O/U line of 211.5.
This season, Minnesota has an O/U record of 51-46. In their games, the average combined scoring is 218 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 209.5.
The Timberwolves are 50-20 as the favorite this season and have been favored in 70 of their 82 games. As the favorite, they have a scoring margin of +8.4 PPG compared to +1.1 PPG as the underdog.
Minnesota’s ATS record for the season is 49-47, and they have covered the spread in their last two games at home. At home, they are 21-27 ATS.
In the Western Conference, the Timberwolves are in 3rd place with a record of 56-26. Against the West, they are 37-15 and 12-4 against their division.
Minnesota comes into the game as the 21st ranked scoring offense, at 113 points per game. At home, they are even worse, at 111.3 points per contest. Despite their low pace, the Timberwolves are 9th in field goal percentage and 3rd in three-point shooting percentage.
Anthony Edwards is averaging 22.2 points per game over his last five games, to go along with 8.6 rebounds and 8 assists. Jaden McDaniels has hit 57.4% of his shots in his last five games, leading to an average of 14.8 points in that stretch. Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 21.8 points per game for the season but just 18.6 in his last five games.
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Player Props
A player prop we are looking at is Kyrie Irving and his points prop of 23.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -106 while the under is at -120. With his prop at 23.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 27. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.6% and knocking down three threes.
- The Prop: Kyrie Irving Over 23.5 Points (-106)
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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Predictions
As the underdogs with a spread of +5, we recommend going with the Mavericks on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 209.5 and given that our model is projecting 213 points between the teams, we like the over.
The Pick: Mavericks +5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook