Tampa Bay Lightning vs. San Jose Sharks Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Mar. 21

Nov 4, 2023; Ottawa, Ontario, CAN; Tampa Bay Lightning center Steven Stamkos (91) skates with the puck in the second period against the Ottawa Senators at the Canadian Tire Centre.
Image Credit: Marc DesRosiers-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Tampa Bay Lightning vs. San Jose Sharks prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Lightning hit the road to face the San Jose Sharks.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (37-25-6) are set to clash with the San Jose Sharks (16-45-7) in a matchup that pits a playoff contender against a team looking to salvage pride. As the Lightning aim to extend their four-game winning streak, the Sharks are desperate to snap a five-game skid.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. San Jose Sharks Odds Info

Moneyline: Tampa Bay Lightning -345 (BetRivers) / San Jose Sharks +295 (DraftKings)

Puck Line: +1.5 – Tampa Bay Lightning -136 (BetRivers) / San Jose Sharks +112 (BetRivers)

Total: 6.5 – -108 (DraftKings) / -112 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Mar. 21

Time: 09:30 PM

Location: SAP Center at San Jose – San Jose, CA

TV: ESPN+

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

  • This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 36 overs and 32 unders.
  • On the road this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 15 overs and 19 unders.
  • As the favorite this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 20 overs and 19 unders.

San Jose Sharks Betting Trends

  • This season, the San Jose Sharks have hit 32 overs and 36 unders.
  • At home this season, the San Jose Sharks have hit 15 overs and 17 unders.
  • As the underdog this season, the San Jose Sharks have hit 32 overs and 36 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Tampa Bay Lightning and the San Jose Sharks have faced off three times, with Tampa Bay emerging victorious in two of those encounters while San Jose claimed one win. The visiting team has had the upper hand, winning two out of the three games. When it comes to betting statistics, the Sharks have proven to be more reliable against the spread, covering it in two games compared to the Lightning’s one. In terms of totals betting, the Over has hit twice, indicating higher-scoring games, while the Under has only occurred once. Key statistics from these matchups reveal that the Lightning have scored a total of 13 goals across the three games, while the Sharks have netted 7. The Lightning’s goaltenders have saved 67 out of 74 shots for a combined save percentage of approximately 0.905, whereas the Sharks’ goalies have made 81 saves on 94 shots, resulting in a save percentage of around 0.862. The Lightning have also been more disciplined, taking fewer penalties in two out of the three games.

The most recent game between the two teams, played on October 26, 2023, ended with a decisive 6-0 victory for the Tampa Bay Lightning over the San Jose Sharks. The Lightning, playing at home, were the favorites with a closing moneyline of -310 and a spread of -1.5, which they covered by winning with a six-goal margin. The game’s total score was 6, which meant the result was Under the closing over-under line set at 6.5. Tampa Bay’s offense was in full swing, with goals from Brayden Point, Michael Eyssimont, Steven Stamkos, Brandon Hagel, Nicholas Paul, and Luke Glendening. The Lightning’s goaltender, Jonas Johansson, achieved a shutout, stopping all 23 shots faced, contributing to the team’s dominant performance. The Sharks struggled throughout the game, failing to score despite 23 shots on goal and 20 blocks, and their goalies, Mackenzie Blackwood and Kaapo Kahkonen, allowed six goals from 31 shots. This game highlighted Tampa Bay’s offensive strength and defensive solidity, setting a high bar for the upcoming encounter.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. San Jose Sharks Predictions

The Tampa Bay Lightning are riding a wave of momentum, having won their last four games, and are looking to solidify their playoff positioning in the Eastern Conference. With star forward Nikita Kucherov leading the league in points, the Lightning’s offensive firepower has been on full display. Their recent performances have been characterized by a potent attack and resilient defense, making them a formidable opponent on any given night.

On the other side of the ice, the San Jose Sharks have endured a challenging season, sitting at the bottom of the Western Conference standings. Despite their struggles, players like Fabian Zetterlund and Mikael Granlund have provided some bright spots with their offensive contributions. However, the Sharks’ defense has been porous, and they’ll need to tighten up if they hope to contain the Lightning’s high-scoring offense.

This game will feature a key matchup between the Lightning’s high-powered offense, which ranks among the best in the league, and the Sharks’ struggling defensive unit. The Sharks will also need to find a way to solve the Lightning’s goaltending, which has been a backbone for the team during their winning streak. As the teams prepare to face off at the SAP Center, all eyes will be on whether the Sharks can muster a strong performance to challenge the surging Lightning, or if Tampa Bay will continue their march towards the playoffs with another victory.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. San Jose Sharks Pick

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the San Jose Sharks have had a history of high-scoring games, but the current trends suggest a different outcome for their upcoming matchup. The Lightning, despite their offensive prowess, have been involved in games that have hit the under in recent outings, with a strong goaltending performance backing them up. The Sharks, on the other hand, have struggled to find the back of the net consistently, which has contributed to more games going under the total line. With the total line set at 6.5, and considering the Sharks’ offensive challenges coupled with the Lightning’s solid defense, the under seems to be the more likely scenario for this game.

Furthermore, the most recent encounter between these two teams resulted in a 6-0 shutout for the Lightning, which hit the under. While the Lightning have the capability to score in bunches, the Sharks’ recent form does not indicate that they will contribute much to the total score. Additionally, the Sharks’ goaltending has been less than stellar, which could lead to a more conservative approach to try and limit the damage against a high-scoring team like Tampa Bay. Taking into account these factors, the under is the more compelling pick for this matchup, as it aligns with both teams’ recent performances and the historical trend of their encounters.

The Pick: Under 6.5 -108 (DraftKings)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. San Jose Sharks Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Anthony Duclair Points 0.5 7/10 -135 +105 1.3 1.20
Steven Stamkos Points 0.5 7/10 -238 +180 1.2 1.20
Nikita Kucherov Assists 0.5 10/10 -220 +170 1.8 1.20
Anthony Duclair Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -200 +154 2.8 2.92
Victor Hedman Assists 0.5 7/10 -160 +124 1.0 1.12
Victor Hedman Points 0.5 7/10 -210 +160 1.3 1.20

San Jose Sharks

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Mikael Granlund Points 0.5 7/10 -150 +120 1.0 1.01
Mikael Granlund Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -166 +130 1.9 1.89