Super Bowl props are now filling odds boards at sportsbooks from coast to coast, in advance of Sunday’s matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and Cincinnati Bengals.
Throughout the week, leading up to Super Bowl 56 in Inglewood, Calif., Props.com will offer up our five favorite Super Bowl props for each team’s skill position group on offense, as well as our top five defensive, kicker/punter, and special teams props. We’ll also break down five game-specific props; best bets for players scoring the first touchdown; and even our favorite cross-sport props.
Yes, consider us your one-stop prop shop for Rams vs. Bengals. So be sure to check back all week for comprehensive and (we hope!) compelling Super Bowl 56 betting coverage.
Next up: Our top five Super Bowl props involving Cincinnati Bengals receivers.
Odds via PointsBet USA and DraftKings and updated as of 2 p.m. ET on Feb. 9.
Ja’Marr Chase: Total Receptions
The Prop: 5.5 receptions
The Odds: Over -145/Under +115
Chase has racked up four 100-yard games in his last six outings, while averaging 6.7 catches during that stretch. And yet, the explosive rookie isn’t an obvious lock for six-plus catches on Super Sunday. That’s likely because, in 20 games this season, Chase hit six or more catches just eight times (40 percent).
And during the regular season, Chase had a catch-to-target rate of only 63.2 percent.
Now for the good news, relative to the Over: The Rams allowed the third-most receptions to opposing wideouts during the regular season (240, or 14.1 per game), along with the fifth-most targets (366, or 21.5 per outing).
Chase’s catch-to-target ratio was substantially higher during the postseason, at 74.1 percent (20 of 27 balls).
Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards
The Prop: 70.5 receiving yards
The Odds: Over -115/Under -115
For this prop, the magic number might be ‘8’ — as in eight targets. In the eight games Higgins was targeted at least eight times this year, including the playoffs, the Clemson product averaged 7.4 catches, 11 targets, and 104.4 receiving yards.
In his other nine games, Higgins was a relative afterthought in the Bengals’ high-powered offense, averaging 3.6 catches and 57 yards. And Higgins eclipsed the Super Sunday total of 70.5 eight times in 17 games, including the playoffs.
So as the pick ’em price suggests, this is a 50/50 wager.
For tiebreaker purposes, though, here are two nuggets to ponder:
— Bengals QB Joe Burrow has caught fire the last five games (all victories), averaging 362.6 yards passing per outing. Burrow also notched 28-plus completions three times in that stretch.
— The Rams’ defense surrendered the fourth-most receiving yards to opposing wideouts during the regular season (2,950, or 173.5 per game).
Tyler Boyd: Longest Reception
The Prop: 17.5 yards
The Odds: Over -105/Under -125
It’s baffling to see this prop tangibly leaning toward the Under. Given the sudden surge of Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow, along with the unsettled injury status of tight end C.J. Uzomah (knee), whose absence might create more/other opportunities for Cincinnati’s receiving corps.
During the regular season, Boyd had 10 completions of 20-plus yards. He also had at least one reception of 18-plus yards in nine of 16 games (56.3 percent), and two other outings included at least one catch of 17 yards.
What’s more, the Rams allowed the fourth-most receiving yards to opposing wideouts during the regular season, at 12.3 yards per catch.
All that noted, Boyd has averaged only 4.7 receptions and 20.7 receiving yards during the Bengals’ three playoff games.
These numbers are hardly solid indicators of Boyd cracking 18-plus yards from a single Super Sunday catch. Especially with Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins riding separate waves of high production.
Ja’Marr Chase: First Reception
The Prop: 11.5 yards
The Odds: Over -120/Under +100
It’s easy to love the pomp and circumstance of Super Bowl Week, based on this cool prop.
In 17 regular-season games, Chase averaged 9.1 yards on his first reception per outing. The absurdly good rookie (81 catches, 1,455 yards, 13 TDs) registered 12 or more yards on the first catch eight times.
During the playoffs, though, Chase eclipsed the Super Sunday total of 11.5 first-reception yards just one time (11, 57, and 2 yards).
So, how might the proverbial wind blow come Sunday? The first receptions for the Rams’ three playoff opponents went for 2, 13, and 12 yards. It’s almost a coin-toss price, which seems about right.
Tee Higgins: Total Receptions
The Prop: 5.5 receptions
The Odds: Over +105/Under -135
Higgins has a solid shot at hauling in six-plus catches on Super Sunday. In his last nine games, Higgins is averaging 5.7 catches and 95 receiving yards. In that same stretch, the former Clemson star averaged 8.1 targets per outing.
Of his 17 games for the entire season, Higgins tallied six-plus receptions eight times. In Cincinnati’s at Tennessee and at Kansas City, Higgins averaged 6.5 catches and 99.5 yards. And as noted above, L.A.’s defense can be porous when it comes to wideout production.
On the flip side, during the regular season, Higgins had a catch-to-target rate of 67.2 percent, markedly higher than his playoff proficiency (60.8%).
