Steelers vs. Browns Predictions, Odds & Free Pick – MNF Week 2

Kenny Pickett #8 of the Pittsburgh Steelers in action during a preseason game against the Seattle Seahawks at Acrisure Stadium on August 13, 2022 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Image Credit: Justin Berl/Getty Images

Need a Steelers vs. Browns prediction? We’ve got what you need, as the Browns hit the road to face the Steelers on Monday, Sept. 18 on ABC with a kickoff time of 8:15 p.m. ET. The current total stands at 38.5, with the Browns being favored by 2 as they play on the road.

Steelers vs. Browns Odds

  • Spread: Browns -2
  • Total 38.5

Game Info

  • Date: Monday, Sep 18
  • Time: 8:15 ET
  • Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh PA
  • TV: ABC

Browns Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Browns have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last five road contests, the Browns offense has averaged 19 points per game while allowing an average of 21. Cleveland posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-2-1 ATS.
  • The Browns have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Steelers Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Steelers have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last home games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • Pittsburgh has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

Will Cleveland Secure A Victory as Road Favorites?

The season opener saw the Browns hosting the Bengals, resulting in a 24-3 win. As 0.5-point favorites against the Bengals, the Browns picked up an ATS win.

Against the Bengals, the Browns ran the ball 40 times, with Nick Chubb as the top rusher, gaining 106 yards. Deshaun Watson attempted 29 passes, amassing 154 yards and a passer rating of 67.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Browns gave up 142 yards of total offense to Cincinnati. 75 of these yards came on the ground, while the team’s secondary gave up 67 yards on 32 attempts.

No Pressure for Pittsburgh as Home Dogs

In their season opener, the Steelers welcomed the 49ers to their home turf. But they head into week two at 0-1 as they suffered a 30-7 loss. In addition to their 23-point loss, the Steelers also lost vs. the spread. They were 1-point underdogs heading into the game.

On offense, the Steelers finished 239 yards against the 49ers. On third-down situations, the Steelers had a 33.3% conversion rate. Notably, Najee Harris led the rushing attack with 31 yards, while Kenny Pickett passed for 232 yards.

Against the 49ers’ offense, the Steelers allowed 391 yards of total offense. Of these yards, 188 were attributed to the rushing defense, while 203 yards were surrendered on 29 pass attempts.

Steelers vs. Browns Player Prop

The passing yards prop for Pittsburgh quarterback, Kenny Pickett, is at 200.5. Based on the odds, he carries a 52% likelihood of exceeding this mark, while the under payout is -125.

Pickett has recorded 232 passing yards on 46 throws thus far. His overall completion percentage stands at 67.4%, resulting in a passer rating of 68.4. Considering that Cleveland defense features a good pass rush, look for Pickett to struggle with less time in the pocket. My pick is to go with the under at 200.5 passing yards.

The Prop: Kenny Pickett Under 200.5 Passing Yards (-125)

Steelers VS. Browns Predictions

The oddsmakers opened the with Steelers as the 1-point favorites but the lines have since moved to the Browns -2 after their dominant performance in Week 1. 

Looking at the betting splits, it appears that the public and sharps are aligned on this one, as Cleveland is receiving 76% of the betting tickets and 80% of the money against the spread.

With Cleveland demonstrating a strong rushing game and the Pittsburgh defense showing vulnerability against the run when facing San Francisco, I’m placing my bet on Cleveland at -2 in this matchup.

It doesn’t hurt that the Browns have a very good pass rush while Pittsburgh is still trying to figure things out on their offensive line. 

The Pick: Browns -2 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook