The Saints host the Detroit Lions on Sunday, Dec 3. This week 13 game is set for 1:00 ET and will be shown on FOX. Detroit comes into this game as 4-point favorites, with the total set at 46.5. Keep reading to get our Saints vs. Lions player props and predictions.
Saints VS. Lions Odds
- Spread: Lions -4
- Total 46.5
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Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Dec 3
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans LA
- TV: FOX
Lions Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Lions have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- In their last five road games, Detroit has averaged 24 points per game while allowing 24 . The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Lions struggled vs the spread, going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight-up mark of 2-1.
Saints Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Saints have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, New Orleans has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
- The last ten games that New Orleans was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 4-6 straight up.
Will the Lions Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?
In their game against the Saints, the Lions will aim to improve their 8-3 record. This positions them 1st in the NFC-North and 3rd in the NFC. Taking a look at the Lions’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +3.3. This has resulted in an ATS record of 7-4.
After their 29-22 loss to the Packers, the Lions are looking to bounce back in week 13. In addition to losing straight-up, the Lions also lost vs. the spread as 8.5-point favorites. The over/under line for their game vs. 47 points, which the teams exceeded with a combined 51 points.
On offense, the Lions finished with 464 yards against the Packers. On third-down situations, the Lions had a 46.7% conversion rate. Notably, David Montgomery led the rushing attack with 71 yards, while Jared Goff passed for 332 yards.
The Lions’ defense has, on average, allowed 318.8 yards and 23.5 points per contest (21st). Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 63.0% completion rate and yielded 19 passing touchdowns. In terms of run defense, they rank 5th in the NFL.
Do the Saints Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?
In the NFC-South standings, the Saints are in 2nd place with a record of 5-6. Within the NFC, New Orleans is 10th, heading into week 13. This season, the Saints find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 2-8-1. Their average scoring margin for this season stands at +0.6.
Recently, the Saints played and had a 24-15 loss against the Falcons. With the 9-point loss to the Falcons, the Saints also took a loss vs. the spread as 2-point favorites. In their most recent game, the over/under line was 42 points. By combining for 39 points, the under hit.
New Orleans’ offense produced a total of 444 yards against the Falcons. When it came to third downs, the Saints had a conversion rate of 42.9%. The leading rusher for the Saints was Alvin Kamara with 69 yards, and Derek Carr contributed 304 passing yards.
On defense, the Saints are currently positioned 19th in tackles for loss and 19th in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 20.2 points per game and gaining 320.3 yards per contest.
Saints vs. Lions Player Props
Alvin Kamara has a rushing yards prop of 51.5 for this week’s game. The over is paying out at -119, putting the implied odds at 54% compared to the under at -113 (53%).
Alvin Kamara faces the Lions as the 23rd-ranked running back in rushing attempts for the season, amassing 457 yards. Coming into the game, his average yards per carry stands at 3. The Lions defense is currently allowing an average of 3.9 yards per rushing attempt. Based on this, I’d bet on taking the under at 51.5 rushing yards.
- The Prop: Alvin Kamara Under 51.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Saints VS. Lions Predictions
Detroit initially opened as 3.0 point favorites on the road The lines have shifted in their favor, now standing at -4.
I like New Orleans as 4-point underdogs to cover the spread for this matchup. Look for the Saints to hang around against a Lions team that got roughed up last week against the Packers.
The Pick: Saints +4 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook