NLCS Game 1: Phillies vs. D-Backs Player Props & Picks

Oct 13, 2023; Phoenix, AZ, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks Corbin Carroll during a simulated game at Chase Field preparing for their NLCS matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Image Credit: Rob Schumacher/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK

The Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78), second in the NL West during the regular season, are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72), second in the NL East. This is the first game of the National League Championship Series (NLCS), and it promises to be a thrilling encounter.

How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies vs. D-Backs player props, odds, and picks below.

Phillies vs. D-Backs Odds

Game Info

  • Date: Monday, Oct. 16
  • Time: 8:07 PM ET
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park – Philadelphia, PA
  • TV: TBS

Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks are 4-6 in their last 10 games. As the underdog, they have a record of 40 wins and 46 losses this season. They have covered the spread in 88 of their 162 games.

Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 games. As the favorite, they have a record of 66 wins and 42 losses this season. They have covered the spread in 72 of their 162 games.

Phillies vs. D-Backs Preview

The Phillies are sending right-hander Zack Wheeler to the mound. Wheeler has a 13-6 record with a 3.61 ERA in 32 starts this season. He has been a consistent performer for the Phillies, helping them secure 19 wins in his starts. His counterpart for the Diamondbacks is Zac Gallen, who has a 17-9 record with a 3.47 ERA in 34 starts. Gallen has been instrumental in the Diamondbacks’ success, contributing to 19 of their wins.

Offensively, the Phillies have been led by Kyle Schwarber, who has hit 47 home runs this season, and Bryce Harper, who boasts a .293 batting average. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks’ offense has been powered by Christian Walker, who has hit 33 home runs and maintained a .258 batting average.

Both teams have had solid performances from their bullpens, with the Phillies recording 45 saves (9th in the league) and the Diamondbacks not far behind with 44 saves (11th in the league). However, the Phillies have a slight edge in terms of hitting, ranking 9th in the league with 1417 hits, while the Diamondbacks rank 17th with 1359 hits.

Phillies vs. D-Backs Picks

Despite the Phillies being the favorites, the game is expected to be a low-scoring affair due to the strong pitching matchup. Both Wheeler and Gallen have been consistent this season, and their ability to limit the opposition’s scoring opportunities will be crucial. Furthermore, both teams’ offenses have been relatively inconsistent, which further supports the prediction of a low-scoring game.

Therefore, the best bet for this game would be the under on the total runs. Given the strong pitching on display and the inconsistent offenses, it is unlikely that the teams will combine for more than 7 runs. This prediction is further supported by the recent form of both teams, with the Phillies having a lower average of runs in their last 10 games compared to their season average, and the Diamondbacks having a lower average of runs in their last 10 games compared to their season average.

The Pick: Under 7.0 (DraftKings)

Phillies vs. D-Backs Player Props

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Zac Gallen 14.5 Outs (-165)
    • Hit Rate: 10/10
    • Average: 17.8 Outs
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.5 Total Bases (-170)
    • Hit Rate: 8/10
    • Average: 1.7 Total Bases
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.5 Hits (-170)
    • Hit Rate: 8/10
    • Average: 1.2 Hits
  • Zac Gallen 4.5 Hits Allowed (-145)
    • Hit Rate: 8/10
    • Average: 6.1 Hits Allowed
  • Ketel Marte 0.5 Total Bases (-190)
    • Hit Rate: 7/10
    • Average: 2.0 Total Bases
  • Ketel Marte 0.5 Hits (-190)
    • Hit Rate: 7/10
    • Average: 1.0 Hits
  • Corbin Carroll 1.5 Hits and Runs and RBIs (+105)
    • Hit Rate: 7/10
    • Average: 2.7 Hits and Runs and RBIs
  • Corbin Carroll 0.5 Total Bases (-185)
    • Hit Rate: 7/10
    • Average: 2.2 Total Bases
  • Corbin Carroll 0.5 Runs (+130)
    • Hit Rate: 7/10
    • Average: 1.0 Runs
  • Corbin Carroll 0.5 Hits (-185)
    • Hit Rate: 7/10
    • Average: 1.1 Hits
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.5 Singles (+110)
    • Hit Rate: 7/10
    • Average: 0.9 Singles

Philadelphia Phillies

  • Trea Turner 1.5 Hits and Runs and RBIs (-160)
    • Hit Rate: 8/10
    • Average: 2.8 Hits and Runs and RBIs
  • Trea Turner 0.5 Singles (-125)
    • Hit Rate: 8/10
    • Average: 0.9 Singles
  • Zack Wheeler 16.5 Outs (-120)
    • Hit Rate: 8/10
    • Average: 18.3 Outs
  • Trea Turner 1.5 Total Bases (-105)
    • Hit Rate: 7/10
    • Average: 3.1 Total Bases
  • Bryce Harper 0.5 Walks (-130)
    • Hit Rate: 7/10
    • Average: 1.1 Walks