Holiday Bowl: Oregon  vs. UNC Prediction, Odds & Picks (Wednesday, Dec. 28)

Oregon Ducks quarterback Bo Nix (10) scrambles out against the Georgia Bulldogs during the third quarter of the Chick-fil-A kickoff game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Image Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

It’s the Holiday Bowl, and Oregon is set to face UNC on Wednesday, Dec. 28. The game is scheduled for 8 pm ET while airing on ESPN. Oregon enters this game as 14.5-point favorites with the total set at 74.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Oregon vs. UNC prediction for the Holiday Bowl below.

Holiday Bowl Odds: Oregon vs. UNC

  • Spread: Oregon -14.5
  • Total: 74.5

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. New to FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, Dec. 28
  • Time: 8 pm ET
  • Location: Petco Park – San Diego, CA
  • TV: ESPN

Oregon  Betting Trends

  • Ducks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 non-conference games.

UNC Betting Trends

  • Tar Heels are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-12.
  • Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 4-1 in Tar Heels last 5 games overall.

Oregon vs. UNC Prediction

This should be a fun game to watch. As you can see above, the over/under is listed at 74.5 points, which screams shootout potential. Oregon ranks 11th in scoring and sixth in total offense. Meanwhile, North Carolina is 24th in scoring and 17th in total offense. Because of that, the emphasis will be placed on each defense to at least slow down the opposing unit, both of which feature star playmaking quarterbacks.

If you look at all the moving parts of this game, the spread seems somewhat heavy. This should be a back-and-forth contest between two capable offenses. Yes, North Carolina will be without star WR Josh Downs, but Oregon is dealing with several opt-outs and transfers as well — especially on defense. The Tar Heels underwhelmed down the stretch by losing their last three games, including a 10-39 shellacking vs. Clemson in the ACC Championship. However, this is a good spot to reset and compete against an Oregon team that is looking forward to next year.

Let’s take North Carolina to keep it close, and the +14.5 point spread at FanDuel Sportsbook is ripe for the picking.

The Pick: North Carolina +14.5 | -110 at FanDuel Sportsbook