How about a little Thankgsiving college football? It’s the Egg Bowl, as Ole Miss is set to face Mississippi State on Thursday, Nov. 24. The game is scheduled for 7 pm ET while airing on ESPN. Ole Miss enters this game as 2.5-point favorites with the total set at 59. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State predictions for the Egg Bowl.
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Odds
- Spread: Ole Miss -2.5
- Total: 59
Odds via Betfred. Click here to redeem our exclusive Betfred Promo Code for $250 in free bets!
Game Info
- Date: Thursday, Nov. 24
- Time: 7 pm ET
- Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium — Oxford, MS
- TV: ESPN
Ole Miss Betting Trends
- Ole Miss is 4-6-1 ATS this season
- The Over is 6-5 in Ole Miss games this season
- Ole Miss is 3-5-1 ATS as favorites this season
- Ole Miss is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Over is 5-1 in Ole Miss games in their last 6 games
- Ole Miss is 1-4-1 ATS as favorites in their last 6 games
Mississippi State Betting Trends
- Mississippi State is 5-5-1 ATS this season
- The Over is 7-4 in Mississippi State games this season
- Mississippi State is 0-2 ATS as underdogs this season
- Mississippi State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Over is 6-2 in Mississippi State games in their last 8 games
- Mississippi State is 1-4 as underdogs in their last 5 games
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Predictions
In order to make accurate Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State predictions, our sports betting model has sorted through thousands of historical college football games to find similar matchups. We can then draw comparisons and find value based on this analysis.
The model found that the total is higher than 100% of the 13 most historically similar matchups. That warrants a play Under 59 total points.
We can’t ignore the strange coaching controversy (or non-controversy?) heading into this game. It was reported that Ole Miss HC Lane Kiffin will leave to coach Auburn. That’s a rumor that Kiffin himself has denied:
That’s news to me Jon. 🤦♂️. Nice sources 🚫👿🪑🍽 https://t.co/P8rdpxEk0p
— Lane Kiffin (@Lane_Kiffin) November 22, 2022
Either way, it’s clear to see how this game will fly over the total of 59 points. Ole Miss has gone over the total in five of it’s last six games. Mississippi State’s “air raid” offense is friendly to the over as well, going in that direction for six of the last eight Bulldogs games.
Both of these offenses rank in the top 35 for scoring. Mississippi State throws the ball more than any other team in college football, and Ole Miss ranks 111th in opponent completion rate at 65.11%. On the other hand, Ole Miss loves to run the ball (ranks 8th in rushing rate), and Mississippi State ranks 97th in opponent yards per carry at 4.6.
In other words, neither defense has an answer coming into this rivalry. Expect plenty of points in the Egg Bowl!
The Pick: Over 59 | -110 at Betfred Sportsbook