I completely understand if the Monday Night fiasco from Philadelphia is top of mind after reading this headline, wondering how we can possibly consider NFL prop betting angles on the Eagles offense in Week 4.
Jalen Hurts and the Eagles seriously struggled against Dallas on Monday, scoring just 14 points and looking stale throughout.
With that established, one cannot underestimate how bad this Kansas City Chiefs defense has been.
Their run defense is the worst in the league, and their secondary isn’t much better.
As such, there are two prop picks in particular that I like for Philadelphia on Sunday.
Miles Sanders Over 53.5 Rushing Yards
— Sanders ran the ball just two times on Monday, a shocking product of a poor game plan by Philly.
— Coach Nick Sirianni was grilled this week and admitted the need to run the ball more, and Philadelphia gets the game to do it against a porous Kansas City run defense.
— The Chiefs are allowing 160.3 rushing yards per game, second-worst in the NFL, and allowing an average of 5.4 yards per rush, tied for second-worst.
— While Sanders rushed the ball just twice, he averaged 13.5 yards per carry. The explosiveness is there, and as the clear top back in Philly, he should get his chances to exceed this line.
— Sanders has exceeded this projected total in five of his last six games, with the lone exception being this past week.
NFL Prop Betting Angle: Expect Philadelphia to try and relax their struggling quarterback by establishing the run early and often – or at least while the game is close.
Quez Watkins Over 23.5 Receiving Yards
— The surprise leader in receiving yards for the Eagles is Quez Watkins, who has 186 yards on just 7 catches, good for an average of 26.6 yards per catch.
— Watkins could easily surpass this line in one catch, as he has back-to-back weeks of big plays (91 yards and 41 yards).
— No team has allowed more 40+ yard passes than the Kansas City defense, with five.
— Watkins is well-positioned to take advantage of this weak secondary, and as the third receiver (66% of snaps last week), he shouldn’t garner as much attention as DeVonta Smith.
— At some point, Kansas City is bound to build up a lead on the Eagles, at which point passes will become more frequent.
NFL Prop Betting Angle: Watkins has been the best deep-ball threat on this offense and gets a soft matchup. Bet this overconfidently.
