Kyle Garlett

NFL Player Props: Hill, Brady Top Props For Sunday Night Football Week 15

Taysom Hill #7 of the New Orleans Saints runs the ball during a game against the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium on November 14, 2021 in Nashville, Tennessee. The Titans defeated the Saints 23-21.
Image Credit: Wesley Hitt/Getty Images

It’s the strangest of things. The Buccaneers are the defending Super Bowl champions, have a quarterback who is favored to win the MVP, and are regarded to once again hoist the Lombardi Trophy. Yet over these last two years, they’ve lost to the Saints three times. All of that is to say, Sunday night is going to be a wild one, with the individual performances to match. Let’s find the best NFL player props within that.

All odds courtesy of BetPrep updated 8 a.m. ET on Dec. 16.

Tom Brady Vs. New Orleans Saints

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady holds the football as he gets ready to throw
Image Credit: Tim Fuller/USA TODAY Sports

The Prop: Tom Brady Passing Yards
The Odds: Over 312.5 yards (-114)/Under 312.5 yards (-118)

Even for the aforementioned MVP favorite, this is a big line. And at least since he’s been a member of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tom Brady has struggled against the Saints. In his three losses to them in the last two years, he’s thrown seven interceptions. And even in the win in the playoffs last year, Brady threw for just 199 yards.

Yes, Brady had 363 yards last week against Buffalo and 368 the week before that, but there is something about Sean Payton against Tampa Bay.

This will be a lower-scoring game with the clock managed by the New Orleans running game. Brady will still have a decent game but take the UNDER.

Editor’s Note: New to NFL player props? Check out our complete NFL Prop Betting Guide to get up to speed! 

Taysom Hill Vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Taysom Hill #7 of the New Orleans Saints throws the ball against the Dallas Cowboys during a game at the the Caesars Superdome on December 02, 2021 in New Orleans, Louisiana.
Image Credit: Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images

The Prop: Taysom Hill Total Yards
The Odds: Over 232.5 yards (-114)/Under 232.5 yards (-116)

Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram are healthy, and Taysom Hill is under center. That means that the Saints have a perfect opportunity to rack up big yardage on the ground.

We just saw Bills quarterback Josh Allen throw from 300 yards and rush for another 100 yards against the Bucs. While those totals are probably out of reach for Hill from his quarterback position, he is poised to have a solid offensive game.

Hill had 248 total yards in a blowout win against the Jets last week and went for 365 in a much closer game against the Cowboys. This will be a closer game, Hill will be a big part of the offense, and his total yards will go OVER.

Rob Gronkowski Vs. New Orleans Saints

Rob Gronkowski #87 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers runs the ball during the second quarter against the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium on September 26, 2021 in Inglewood, California.
Image Credit: Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images

The Prop: Rob Gronkowski Receiving Yards
The Odds: Over 61.5 yards (-114)/Under 61.5 yards (-116)

Since returning to the lineup on November 22, tight end Rob Gronkowski has looked like the Gronk of old. He went for 71 yards against the Giants, 123 yards against the Colts, 58 at Atlanta, and 62 yards last weekend against the Bills. That’s vintage Gronkowski.

Those 62 yards are right at that line, as are these numbers allowed by the Saints’ defense. Dallas Goedert had 62 yards in Week 11, and Kyle Pitts had 62 yards in Week 9.

When Gronk is on, which he is right now, he’s better than both of those players. And betting on Gronk to go OVER this Sunday night is a plausible wager.