Here we go with our Monday Night Football prop bets for the Bills vs. Titans.
The Bills are commanding favorites in the first game of the MNF doubleheader. Therefore, the potential for a good game script for Buffalo’s talented defense was a significant consideration for the first suggested prop. Additionally, Buffalo’s injury report was influential for another of the touted props.
So, let’s run through the rationale behind our selections.
MNF Prop Bets: Bills vs. Titans Player Props
Here’s a trio of Bills vs. Titans player props I like for Monday’s game:
Ryan Tannehill Over 0.5 Interceptions (-150)
Tannehill was a near shoo-in to throw an interception in losses last year. The Titans lost five games in the regular season and were bounced from the playoffs by the Bengals after a first-round bye in 2021. Tannehill threw an interception in five of the losses.
Further, the Bills intercepted him in Week 6, and Tannehill regularly put the ball in harm’s way. First, according to Pro-Football-Reference, Tannehill had the 11th-highest interception rate (2.6%) among qualified quarterbacks in 2021. Second, according to Pro Football Focus (PFF), he had 23 turnover-worthy plays in 18 games last year. Further, per PFF, he had 11 turnover-worthy plays on just 215 dropbacks under pressure.
Buffalo’s defense has PFF’s second-highest pressure grade after their retooled defensive line harassed Matthew Stafford in Week 1, sacking him seven times and intercepting him three times. The Bills can pin their ears back and get after Tannehill when he’s in obvious passing situations if the game goes according to the 10-point spread favoring the Bills. Therefore, Tannehill’s likely to throw a pick.
Where to bet: Ryan Tannehill Over 0.5 Interceptions | -150 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Robert Woods Under 42.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Robert Woods tore his ACL last November. So, he’s not even a full year removed from the injury. Unfortunately, it was unsurprising when he wasn’t sharp in the opener. According to PFF, Woods’ 0.50 Yards Per Route Run (Y/RR) is tied for 103rd out of 132 receivers targeted at least once this year.
Moreover, Woods earned only two targets on 26 routes, catching one for 13 yards. So, he’ll have his work cut out for him this week.
Cooper Kupp had 128 receiving yards for the Rams in Week 1. However, all of LA’s other receivers had 47 combined receiving yards on 10 targets. Namely, the Bills held Allen Robinson to 12 yards on one reception. Woods’ yardage prop would be challenging to eclipse if he was coming off a healthy season. Instead, it looks high for a player with rust to shake off after serious knee surgery.
Where to bet: Robert Woods Under 42.5 Receiving Yards | -115 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Stefon Diggs Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Gabriel Davis was added to Buffalo’s injury report with a questionable designation after limited practice participation on Saturday. He’s listed with an ankle injury. Diggs’ yardage prop will probably shoot up if Davis is ruled out. So, jump on his over now.
In addition, if Davis plays at less than 100%, he might not be effective, potentially increasing Diggs’ workload. Still, there’s much more to like about Diggs than Davis’s injury status.
First, Diggs torched the Rams for 122 yards in Week 1. Second, he averaged 72.1 receiving yards per game in 2021 after amassing 95.9 receiving yards per game in 2020. Thus, Diggs has averaged 84.8 receiving yards per game in his time in Buffalo. Diggs also ripped Tennessee for 89 receiving yards last year.
Finally, he has an eye-catching matchup advantage. Yes, matchups with cornerbacks can be overrated. Still, PFF grades Diggs’ matchup with Tennessee’s defenders as the sixth-biggest advantage for a wide receiver in Week 2. Finally, even if the Bills boat race the Titans and lean on the run to salt away the clock late, Diggs could have had an integral role in putting them in that position.
Where to bet: Stefon Diggs Over 69.5 Receiving Yards | -115 at BetMGM Sportsbook
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