Yes, all of college basketball’s big-kid conferences will be in action this week, the ACCs and SECs and Big Tens of the world. But the Monday college basketball odds market belongs solely to the little guys — and in particular, a couple of Top 25 mid-major players.
The West Coast Conference tournament semifinals take place Monday night in Las Vegas. Top-ranked Gonzaga takes on San Francisco, followed by Santa Clara vs. N0. 19 St. Mary’s. There are also NCAA bids on the line in the Southern Conference and Sun Belt Conference.
Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on opening/current lines and action in the Monday college basketball conference tournament betting market. Check back throughout the day for action updates.
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West Coast Conference Tournament Odds and Betting Action
Santa Clara vs No. 19 St. Mary’s (11:30 p.m. ET)
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET: St. Mary’s opened as a 4-point favorite at WynnBet, peaked at -5.5 Sunday night, then backed up to -4.5 late this morning. This afternoon, the Gaels moved to -5, where the line remains two hours before tipoff. St. Mary’s is nabbing 68% of spread tickets, but 54% of spread dollars are on underdog Santa Clara. The total opened at 141 and by this morning dipped to 138, where it stuck all day. The Over is taking 56% of tickets, while 64% of money is on the Under.
UPDATE NOON ET: Like Gonzaga, No. 2 seed St. Mary’s got a bye straight into the WCC semis, after going 24-6 SU during the regular season. The Gaels (12-3 in WCC play) are also an impressive 19-9-1 ATS, the sixth-best spread-covering mark in the nation. St. Mary’s enters postseason play on a four-game winning streak (3-1 ATS), capped by a 67-57 upset of Gonzaga as a 10.5-point home underdog Feb. 26.
No. 3 seed Santa Clara (21-10 SU, 18-12-1 ATS) is 8-2 SU and ATS in its last 10 games, winning its last three SU and last four ATS. In Saturday’s quarterfinals against No. 6 seed Portland, the Broncos rumbled to a 91-67 victory giving 9 points.
These two teams split their regular-season meetings, with the home team winning and cashing each time. On Jan. 20, St. Mary’s won 73-65, barely clearing the -7.5 closing number, and on Feb. 8, Santa Clara nabbed a 77-72 win catching 2 points. In fact, the Gaels and Broncos have split their last six meetings, alternating SU wins. Santa Clara is 5-1 ATS in those contests (all as an underdog).
DraftKings opened St. Mary’s as a 5-point chalk Sunday night, made a couple of trips to -5.5 and is now back at the -5 opener. The Gaels are netting 61% of spread tickets and 83% of spread money. The total opened at 139, bottomed out at 137 (Over -120) and is now 138, with 57% of tickets/78% of cash on the Under.
San Francisco vs No. 1 Gonzaga (9 p.m. ET)
UPDATE 7 P.M. ET: Two hours ahead of game time, Gonzaga is a 14.5-point chalk on WynnBet’s Monday college basketball odds board. The Zags opened -12, shot to -15 by late morning and backed up to -14 midafternoon. Ticket count is 3/1-plus and money 6/1 on the Bulldogs. The total bounced around a bit, opening at 154.5, peaking at 155.5, bottoming out at 153 at lunchtime and now sitting at 154. Ticket count is almost dead even, and money is 2/1 on the Under.
UPDATE NOON ET: Gonzaga, the season-long favorite to win the NCAA championship, captured the WCC regular-season title for the sixth straight year and 10th in the last 11. As such, the Bulldogs (24-3 SU, 14-11-2 ATS) received a bye straight into the WCC semifinals as the No. 1 seed. However, Gonzaga enters this contest off a rare loss. In the Feb. 26 regular-season finale at archrival St. Mary’s, the Zags closed as 10.5-point favorites and got bounced outright 67-57 to fall to 13-1 in league play.
That loss snapped a 17-game winning streak (10-5-2 ATS), dating back to a 91-82 neutral-site setback to Alabama on Dec. 4. Gonzaga is laying another big number Monday night as a 14-point chalk, but it’s worth noting that the Zags are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five, all as double-digit favorites.
No. 4 seed San Francisco has put together a solid 24-8 SU record, but a less impressive 12-18-1 ATS mark in lined contests. The Dons opened WCC tourney play in Saturday’s quarterfinals, beating fifth-seeded BYU 75-63 as 3.5-point neutral-site favorites in Las Vegas.
Gonzaga posted a pair of double-digit victories over San Francisco in the regular season: 78-62, pushing as a 16-point home favorite Jan. 20; and 89-73 giving 10.5 points on the road Feb. 24. The Bulldogs have won the last 23 meetings against the Dons, and they’re 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10.
The Bulldogs opened as 12-point favorites on DraftKings’ Monday college basketball odds board. It took all of two minutes Sunday night for the Zags to jump straight to -13, and they peaked at -15.5 late this morning, before backing up a tick to -15. Early point-spread ticket count is running 4/1 and spread money 9/1 on the Zags.
The total opened at 154, briefly touched 154.5 this morning, then returned to 154. The Over is taking 54% of early tickets and 62% of early money.
Southern Conference Tournament Odds and Betting Action
Furman vs Chattanooga (7 p.m. ET)
UPDATE 5:15 P.M. ET: Less than two hours before tipoff, Chattanooga is a 2.5-point favorite, after opening -1 Sunday night on DraftKings’ Monday college basketball odds board. Ticket count is just beyond 3/1 and money just short of 3/1 on the favored Mocs. The total saw a huge drop at DK, from 143 to 134.5, before rebounding to 137 late this morning. The Over is drawing 70% of tickets, but money is running almost dead even.
UPDATE 1 P.M. ET: Top-seeded Chattanooga (26-7 SU, 17-14 ATS) is where it expected to be, in the SoCon tournament title game. In Sunday’s semifinal round, the Mocs closed as just 2-point neutral-site favorites, then whacked fourth-seeded Wofford 79-56.
Likewise, No. 2 seed Furman (22-11 SU, 16-13-3 ATS) made the SoCon a chalky tournament to this point. The Paladins reached Monday’s title game by edging No. 3 seed Samford 71-68 on Sunday, but failed to cash as an 8.5-point favorite.
Chattanooga won both meetings this season with Furman: 71-69 at home as a 3-point favorite Jan. 15, and 64-58 as a 4.5-point road ‘dog Feb. 12. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four head-to-head battles.
The Mocs are up to -2.5 on WynnBet’s Monday college basketball odds board, after opening at pick. Ticket count and money are both beyond 4/1 on Chattanooga. The total tumbled from 142 to 137, with 57% of early tickets/71% of early cash on the Under. Worth noting, especially given the big line move on the total: The Under is 9-2 in the last 11 head-to-head clashes, with both of this year’s battles staying low.
Sun Belt Conference Tournament Odds and Betting Action
Louisiana-Lafayette vs Georgia State (7 p.m. ET)
UPDATE 5:15 P.M. ET: UPDATE 5:15 P.M. ET: Georgia State toggled between -2.5 and -3 a couple of times at DraftKings, then got to -3.5 late this morning and stuck there. The favored Panthers are seeing 64% of spread tickets and 71% of spread dollars. The total plunged from 137 to 132.5 by midmorning, with 70% of tickets on the Over/74% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 1 P.M. ET: Louisiana-Lafayette just might be March Madness personified. The Ragin’ Cajuns were seeded eighth in the Sun Belt after a 13-14 SU season (11-13-1 ATS). After edging No. 9 seed Texas-Arlington 67-64 as a 3.5-point neutral-site favorite Thursday night, ULL upset No. 1 seed Texas State 79-72 as a 4-point neutral-site underdog Saturday.
Louisiana kept it going in Sunday’s semis with a 66-57 win as a 2-point fave against fourth-seeded Troy. The Ragin Cajuns (16-14 SU, 13-14-1 ATS) are now above .500 and one win away from an automatic NCAA bid.
Keeping with the unchalky Sun Belt theme, third-seeded Georgia State (17-10 SU, 11-12-1 ATS) also reached Monday’s final courtesy of an upset win. On Sunday, the Panthers knocked out No. 2 seed Appalachian State 71-66 getting 3.5 points. Georgia State is on a 9-0 SU run (7-1-1 ATS).
These teams met in the Feb. 25 regular-season closer, with Georgia State notching a 65-58 home win, barely cashing as a 6.5-point favorite. The Panthers also won and covered at ULL on Jan. 27, 68-64 as a 1-point pup. The Panthers are now 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings, although this might be the more interesting trend: The favorite and underdog have alternated spread-covers in the last 11 series clashes.
Georgia State moved from -3 to -3.5 at WynnBet, while taking 69% of early tickets and practically all the early money. The total has plummeted 4 points from 136.5 to 132.5, with 77% of tickets and nearly every dollar on the Under at this point. The Under easily hit in both regular-season matchups, with the total closing at 142.5 Jan. 27 and 141 Feb. 25.
