Arizona Coyotes vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Feb. 29

Jan 28, 2023; Anaheim, California, USA; Arizona Coyotes left wing Matias Maccelli (63) moves in for a shot on goal against the Anaheim Ducks during the third period at Honda Center.
Image Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Arizona Coyotes vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Arizona Coyotes hit the road to face the Toronto Maple Leafs.

The Arizona Coyotes (23-30-5) are set to face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs (33-17-8) in a cross-conference clash at Scotiabank Arena. As the Coyotes look to snap a 13-game losing streak, the Maple Leafs aim to rebound from a recent loss and solidify their playoff positioning.

Arizona Coyotes vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Odds Info

Moneyline: Arizona Coyotes +190 (PointsBet) / Toronto Maple Leafs -240 (PointsBet)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Arizona Coyotes -113 (BetRivers) / Toronto Maple Leafs -100 (PointsBet)

Total: 6.5 – +105 (PointsBet) / -115 (Bet365)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Feb. 29

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: Scotiabank Arena – Toronto, ON


Arizona Coyotes Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Arizona Coyotes have 8 wins and 21 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Arizona Coyotes have 14 wins and 32 losses.
  • This season, the Arizona Coyotes have hit 33 overs and 25 unders.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 15 wins and 13 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 28 wins and 22 losses.
  • This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 34 overs and 24 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Arizona Coyotes and the Toronto Maple Leafs have faced each other three times, with the Coyotes emerging victorious in two of those encounters while the Maple Leafs claimed one win. The visiting team has had the upper hand, winning two out of the three games. When it comes to betting statistics, Arizona has proven to be the better bet, covering the spread in two games compared to Toronto’s one. The total score for these matchups has tended to be high, with the Over hitting twice and the Under only once. In terms of game stats, the Coyotes have shown resilience, winning as underdogs in both their victories, with closing moneylines of +246 and +425, indicating they were not expected to win. The Maple Leafs, on the other hand, were favored in their sole win with a closing moneyline of -184. The games have been characterized by a high-scoring nature, with total scores of 9 in two games and 6 in one, leading to an average of 8 goals per game across the three matchups.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on February 21, 2024, where the Toronto Maple Leafs defeated the Arizona Coyotes with a final score of 6-3. In this game, the Maple Leafs were the favorites with a closing moneyline of -184 and they managed to cover the spread of 1.5. The game’s total score exceeded the closing over-under line of 6.5, resulting in an Over. Toronto’s offensive strength was on full display, with the team’s power play operating at a 40% success rate. The Maple Leafs also had a slight edge in faceoffs, winning 51.7% of them. Key players such as Auston Matthews and William Nylander made significant contributions, with Matthews scoring twice and Nylander adding two goals of his own. The Coyotes, despite the loss, showed competitiveness with goals from Matias Maccelli and Barrett Hayton, among others. Toronto’s goalie, Ilya Samsonov, saved 23 out of 26 shots, while Arizona’s Karel Vejmelka made 30 saves on 36 shots.

Arizona Coyotes vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions

The Toronto Maple Leafs, currently sitting fifth in the Eastern Conference, are coming into this game with a mix of high-scoring offense and a recent hiccup in their performance. With star players like Auston Matthews, who has netted 52 goals this season, and William Nylander leading the team with 79 points, the Leafs have the firepower to challenge any opponent. However, their recent loss has shown some vulnerability, and they’ll be keen to tighten up defensively against the Coyotes. Toronto’s power play, operating at a 40% success rate in their last game, could be a key factor in this matchup.

On the other side, the Arizona Coyotes are in a slump, having lost 13 consecutive games, which has plummeted them to 13th in the Western Conference. Despite their struggles, the Coyotes have players like Clayton Keller, who leads the team with 22 goals and 52 points, capable of sparking a turnaround. The Coyotes will need to leverage their strengths and find a way to overcome their underdog status, as they have done in past seasons against the Maple Leafs, to pull off an upset.

This game presents a critical opportunity for both teams. The Maple Leafs will look to capitalize on their home-ice advantage and offensive talents like Matthews and Nylander, while the Coyotes’ resilience and potential for surprise performances from players like Keller could make for an intriguing contest. With both teams eager to change their narratives Toronto to continue their push for a strong playoff position and Arizona to break their losing streak this game is set to be a compelling battle on the ice.

Arizona Coyotes vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Pick

Despite the daunting challenge of facing the high-powered Toronto Maple Leafs, the Arizona Coyotes present a compelling moneyline bet. The Coyotes have historically performed well against the Maple Leafs, securing two victories in their last three encounters. Additionally, the Coyotes have demonstrated the ability to win as underdogs, with significant moneyline victories in the past. With the Maple Leafs coming off a loss and showing some defensive vulnerabilities, there’s an opportunity for the Coyotes to capitalize on any complacency and deliver a performance reminiscent of their previous upsets. The high average goal count in their recent matchups suggests that if the Coyotes can ignite their offense, they have a chance to outscore the Leafs, making the potential reward of a moneyline bet on the underdog Coyotes worth the risk.

Furthermore, the Maple Leafs’ recent loss has exposed cracks that the Coyotes can exploit. While Toronto’s offensive stats are impressive, hockey games are won on the ice, not on paper, and the Coyotes’ resilience could see them through. Considering the favorable odds and the Coyotes’ need to snap their losing streak, betting on Arizona’s moneyline could prove lucrative. The Leafs may have the advantage on paper, but the Coyotes’ desperation for a win, combined with their historical success against Toronto, could see them pull off an unexpected victory in this matchup.

The Pick: Arizona Coyotes +190 (PointsBet)

Arizona Coyotes vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Arizona Coyotes

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Lawson Crouse Shots On Goal 1.5 9/10 -180 +140 2.9 2.82
Jason Zucker Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -175 +135 1.8 1.75

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Max Domi Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -175 +135 2.7 2.91