Lightning vs. Blues Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Tuesday, Nov. 14

Oct 26, 2023; Calgary, Alberta, CAN; St. Louis Blues center Robert Thomas (18) skates with the puck against the Calgary Flames during the third period at Scotiabank Saddledome
Image Credit: Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. St. Louis Blues Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Tuesday, Nov. 14

We have your Tampa Bay Lightning vs. St. Louis Blues prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Lightning hit the road to face the St. Louis Blues.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (6-5-4) are set to face off against the St. Louis Blues (7-5-1) in a battle at the Enterprise Center. With both teams sitting eighth in their respective conferences, this matchup could be a crucial pivot point as they seek to climb the standings.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. St. Louis Blues Odds Info

Moneyline: Tampa Bay Lightning -130 (DraftKings) / St. Louis Blues +115 (FanDuel)

Puck Line: +1.5 – Tampa Bay Lightning +180 (DraftKings) / St. Louis Blues -210 (FanDuel)

Total: 6.5 – -105 (PointsBet) / -110 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: Tuesday, Nov. 14

Time: 09:00 PM

Location: Enterprise Center – St. Louis, MO

TV: ESPN+

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 2 wins and 5 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 4 wins and 4 losses.
  • This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 10 overs and 5 unders.

St. Louis Blues Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the St. Louis Blues have 5 wins and 2 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the St. Louis Blues have 4 wins and 5 losses.
  • This season, the St. Louis Blues have hit 4 overs and 9 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last three seasons, the Tampa Bay Lightning and the St. Louis Blues have faced off four times, with the Lightning emerging victorious in three of those encounters while the Blues claimed one win. The home team has held the advantage, winning three out of the four games. When it comes to betting statistics, Tampa Bay has consistently outperformed expectations, beating the spread in all four matchups, whereas St. Louis has not beaten the spread in any of the games. The total score has tended to be on the higher side, with the Over hitting three times and the Under only once. In terms of game dynamics, the Lightning have shown a strong power play performance, particularly in their most recent game, and have also dominated in the faceoff circle with a higher win percentage. The Blues, on the other hand, have struggled with their power play opportunities and have been less successful in faceoffs. The goaltending matchup has typically featured Andrei Vasilevskiy for Tampa Bay, who has maintained a save percentage above 0.90 in most games, against Jordan Binnington for St. Louis, with varying degrees of success.

The most recent game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the St. Louis Blues took place on January 14, 2023, with the Lightning securing a 4-2 victory. In this game, the Lightning’s offense was led by Brayden Point, who scored twice, and contributions from Tyler Pitlick and Alex Killorn. The Blues’ goals came from Brayden Schenn and Pavel Buchnevich. Tampa Bay’s special teams were a highlight, as they capitalized on one of their power play opportunities, while St. Louis failed to convert on any of their three chances. The Lightning also had the upper hand in faceoffs, winning 58.2% compared to the Blues’ 41.8%. The goaltending performance was solid on both ends, with Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy saving 23 out of 25 shots for a 0.92 save percentage, and St. Louis’ Jordan Binnington making 26 saves on 30 shots, resulting in a 0.867 save percentage. Tampa Bay’s win was also reflected in the betting odds, as they were the favorites with a closing moneyline of -192, and they managed to cover the spread of 1.5.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. St. Louis Blues Predictions

The Lightning, despite a recent two-game skid, are looking to reignite the spark that has seen them as perennial contenders. Nikita Kucherov continues to be a force on the ice, leading the team with 11 goals and 23 points. However, Tampa Bay’s defense has shown some vulnerability, and they’ll need to tighten up against a Blues team that has found its scoring touch, netting 22 goals in their past five games.

St. Louis, on a two-game winning streak, has seen a resurgence in offensive production, particularly from center Robert Thomas who leads the team with 15 points. The Blues’ power play, which recently snapped out of a slump, will be tested against the Lightning’s penalty kill units. Defensively, the Blues have been solid at home, and goaltender Jordan Binnington will be a key player as he faces a high-powered Tampa Bay offense.

This game could come down to key matchups, particularly the faceoff circle where both teams have shown prowess. Special teams could also play a pivotal role, with both squads boasting the talent to capitalize on power play opportunities. As the teams clash at the Enterprise Center, it will be a test of the Lightning’s ability to bounce back on the road against a Blues team that is building momentum in front of their home crowd.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. St. Louis Blues Pick

The St. Louis Blues are coming into this matchup with a two-game winning streak and a notable surge in offensive production, which makes them a compelling pick for the moneyline bet. With the Enterprise Center providing a solid home-ice advantage and the team’s recent knack for finding the back of the net, the Blues are well-positioned to capitalize on the Lightning’s recent defensive lapses. Furthermore, the Blues’ power play unit seems to have found its rhythm, which could be crucial in a game where special teams might tip the scales. Considering the Blues’ positive trends at home and their ability to outperform expectations, the moneyline bet on St. Louis offers a valuable opportunity.

While the historic head-to-head data leans slightly towards the Lightning, the current momentum is with the Blues, especially given their recent offensive outburst and Tampa Bay’s struggles on the road. The Lightning’s recent two-game skid and the Blues’ resurgence, particularly from players like Robert Thomas, suggest a shift in dynamics that could see St. Louis continue their winning ways. The Blues’ goaltending has also been more consistent at home, and with the crowd behind them, they have the elements needed to secure a victory against a formidable but currently faltering Tampa Bay team.

The Pick: St. Louis Blues +115. (FanDuel)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. St. Louis Blues Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Nikita Kucherov Shots On Goal 3.5 8/10 -145 +114 5.0 5.01
Steven Stamkos Points 0.5 7/10 -245 +185 1.0 1.07
Victor Hedman Assists 0.5 7/10 +105 -135 1.0 0.99
Victor Hedman Points 0.5 7/10 -135 +105 1.2 1.20
Brayden Point Points 0.5 7/10 -238 +180 1.3 1.20
Nikita Kucherov Power Play Points 0.5 7/10 -135 +105 0.9 0.90

St. Louis Blues

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Robert Thomas Points 0.5 9/10 -166 +130 1.4 1.20
Jakub Vrana Shots On Goal 1.5 8/10 -180 +140 2.4 2.40
Pavel Buchnevich Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -190 +145 2.6 2.57