Packers vs. Lions Predictions, Odds & Free Picks – TNF Week 4

Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) prior to the snap during the second half against the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Image Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Are you in need of Packers vs. Lions predictions and picks? Well, you’re in the right place as the Lions are on the road to face the Packers on Thursday, Sep 28 at 8:15 ET. The current total is 46, and the Lions are favored by 1.5.

Packers VS. Lions Odds

  • Spread: Lions -1.5
  • Total 46

Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, Sep 28
  • Time: 8:15 ET
  • Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay WI
  • TV: AMAZON

Lions Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Lions have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Across the Lions’ last ten road games, the team averaged 20 points per game while allowing 27. Their record vs. the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • The Lions have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Packers Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Packers have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games home games, the Packers have a straight-up record of 4-6 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 21 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Packers have a strong straight-up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.

Will Detroit Secure A Victory as Road Favorites?

With a record of 2-1, the Lions head into their week 4 matchup with the Packers in 2nd place in the NFC North. So far, they have gone 1-0 on the road and 1-1 at home. As the underdog, Detroit has gone 1-0 this season compared to their ATS record of 1-1 as the favorite. At home, the Lions are 1-1 ATS and 1-0 vs. the spread on the road.

In their last game, the Lions played host to the Falcons and won by a score of 20-6. Against the spread, the Lions’ 14-point win was enough to cover as 3-point favorites. The under hit in the Lions’ most recent game, as the team’s combined for 26 points. The line going into the game was 47.

Versus the Falcons, the Lions finished with 31 rushing attempts, and Jahmyr Gibbs led the way with 80 yards. Meanwhile, Jared Goff had 33 pass attempts, resulting in 243 yards and a passer rating of 85.

Detroit’s defense has come up with two turnovers so far this season. This figure has them 8th in the NFL. Heading into week 4, they are allowing 21 points per game and 297.3 yards.

Are Green Bay Ready for a Home Win?

As they prepare to face the Lions, the Packers hold a 2-1 record. Within the NFC-North, they currently sit in 1st place and are 4th place in the NFC. The Packers have put together a record of 3-0 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +6.

After their 18-17 win over the Saints, the Packers will look to pick up another win in week 4. In addition to winning straight-up, the Packers covered the spread as 1.5-point underdogs. The over/under line for their most recent game against New Orleans was 41.5. Finishing with a combined total of 35 points, the under hit in this matchup.

Green Bay’s offense finished with 340 yards of total offense vs. the Saints. On third down, the Packers converted at a rate of 44.4%. Jordan Love was the Packers’ top rusher with 39 yards while Jordan Love threw for 259 yards.

On the defensive front, the Packers enter the game as the 9th-ranked team in tackles for loss and 5th in sacks. Their opponents are averaging 20.7 points per game against them, along with an average of 336.3 yards per contest.

Packers vs. Lions Predictions

The oddsmakers opened the with Packers as the -1.5-point favorites but the lines have since moved to the Packers at +1.5 (-109). On the other side, the Lions are -1.5 (-112) on the point spread.

Looking at the betting splits, it appears the public and sharps are betting this one similarly. DraftKings Sportsbook has reported that 77% of the betting tickets and 77% of the money is backing the Lions against the spread.

Following a strong defensive performance, I expect the Lions to deliver another good outing, and they could be getting a few key players back from injury. I believe Detroit will not only secure the win but also cover the spread against Green Bay.

The Pick: Lions -1.5 | -112 at Fanduel Sportsbook