The Yankees have dominated the Twins for decades. It doesn’t take a baseball savant to recognize that. How bad is it? New York is 110-39 against Minnesota since 2002. That’s an outstanding 74% win rate. It should come as no surprise that Thursday’s Yankees vs Twins odds are lopsided toward the Bronx Bombers.
The pitching matchup has something to do with that, too, as bona fide New York ace Gerrit Cole will square off against the likes of Minnesota’s Dylan Bundy.
Let’s dive into the Yankees vs Twins odds and betting action while dropping a pick for this primetime matchup.
Yankees vs Twins Odds
| Team | Runline | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -1.5 (-125) | -221 | O 8.5 (+100) |
| @ Twins | +1.5 (+105) | +180 | U 8.5 (-121) |
Odds via PointsBet USA as of 10:20 a.m. on June 9.
New York Yankees: Gerrit Cole On The Bump
Cole’s stuff has been impressive, allowing one run and four hits across 13 innings in his last two starts. The righty has a whopping 19 strikeouts in that span. In fact, Cole ranks fourth in MLB in strikeout rate (11.27 K/9) among qualified starters. He has been solid against these Minnesota hitters throughout his career, giving up just four extra-base hits in 43 at-bats lifetime against the active Twins roster.
It goes without saying the Yankees’ offense has been robust all season long. They lead baseball in wRC+ and homers. Aaron Judge leads all MLB hitters with 22 homers and an elite 199 wRC+. Cough cough, MVP, cough cough. I mean, the guy is on pace for 65 homers.
New York could only muster one run on Wednesday, but we can expect something closer to their 10-run breakout at Minnesota on Monday. The pitching matchup is a huge reason why.
Minnesota Twins: Will Dylan Bundy Get Shelled Again?
Dylan Bundy was the greatest pitcher on the face of the Earth from April 11-23. He made three starts in that span, giving up one earned run in 15.1 innings. Then reality set in. Hard.
Bundy has allowed nine earned runs in his last two starts. He has given up 17 hits in 8.1 innings over that stretch. And now he faces the best offense in baseball? This could get ugly in a hurry.
Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton are back in the Twins’ lineup, which certainly helps. Overall, Minnesota has been a sneaky-good offense ranking fourth in wRC+ and 10th in runs scored. However, most of the Twins’ hitters have struggled against Cole in their careers.
Yankees vs Twins Odds & Action: Where Is The Public/Sharp Money?
UPDATE THURSDAY 4:30 PM ET – The Yankees moneyline has settled in the -220 range all day with little movement. DraftKings reports 90% of moneyline tickets and 93% of the moneyline handle is on New York. The runline isn’t much different, where 88% of bets and 93% of the runline money is on the Yankees. As for the 8-run total, 68% of bets and 65% of money supports the Over.
Yankees vs Twins Pick
If you read the entire article up to this point, then you know where this is going. To be honest, you didn’t need to read the column to guess the pick.
The Yankees runline (-1.5) stands at -125 odds. Paying juice for a runline? In this economy? Let’s go ahead and bet on New York to win by at least two runs in Minneapolis.
On top of the disparity in starting pitchers, Minnesota’s bullpen is hanging on by a thread. Rookie flamethrower Jhoan Duran is the only competent reliever for the Twins right now. If he pitches, that means we’ll have one inning where the Yankees are up against a quality hurler.
I’m expecting Thursday’s result to be along the same lines as New York’s 10-4 victory over Minnesota on Tuesday.
The Pick: New York Yankees Runline (-1.5) at PointsBet USA
