Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky Picks and Predictions – Wednesday, Mar. 06

Mar 6, 2024; Lexington, Kentucky, USA; Vanderbilt Commodores guard Ezra Manjon (5) goes to the basket during the first half against the Kentucky Wildcats at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center.
Image Credit: Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Kentucky Wildcats prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Vanderbilt Commodores hit the road to face the Kentucky Wildcats.

The Kentucky Wildcats (21-8) are set to host the Vanderbilt Commodores (8-21) in an SEC showdown. Kentucky, on a three-game winning streak, aims to continue their dominant home record, while Vanderbilt looks to upset the odds and snap a five-game losing streak.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Kentucky Wildcats Odds Info

Moneyline: Vanderbilt Commodores +1200 (PointsBet) / Kentucky Wildcats -1700 (Ceasars)

Spread: -18.0 – Vanderbilt Commodores -110 (BetPARX) / Kentucky Wildcats -110 (PointsBet)

Total: 160.5 – -110 (Ceasars) / -110 (Ceasars)

Game Info

Date: Wednesday, Mar. 06

Time: 09:00 PM

Location: Rupp Arena – Lexington, KY

TV: SEC Network

Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Trends

  • On the road, Vanderbilt Commodores are 1 and 8 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Vanderbilt Commodores are 12 and 16.
  • Against the spread on the road, Vanderbilt Commodores are 4 and 6.

Kentucky Wildcats Betting Trends

  • At home, Kentucky Wildcats are 13 and 4 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Kentucky Wildcats are 17 and 12.
  • Against the spread at home, Kentucky Wildcats are 10 and 9.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Kentucky Wildcats Predictions

The Wildcats are coming into this game with high spirits, having won their last three games and boasting an impressive home record at Rupp Arena. Kentucky’s offense has been a force to reckon with, ranking 4th nationally in average points per game at 89.6, thanks in large part to guard Antonio Reeves, who is averaging 20 points per game. The Wildcats also shine from beyond the arc, with a 40.8% three-point shooting percentage, which could spell trouble for a Vanderbilt defense that has struggled to contain the perimeter shot this season.

Vanderbilt, on the other hand, has had a season to forget, with only 8 wins to their name. The Commodores have been particularly weak offensively, ranking 378th in average points per game at 66.6, and their shooting from the field has been lackluster with a 39.4% field goal percentage. Guard Ezra Manjon, averaging 14.3 points and 3.6 assists per game, and forward Ven-Allen Lubin, who leads the team with 5.9 rebounds per game, will need to step up if Vanderbilt hopes to challenge Kentucky’s defense, which has been less than stellar despite the team’s overall success.

The key matchup to watch will be between Kentucky’s offense and Vanderbilt’s defense. The Wildcats will look to exploit the Commodores’ weaknesses from the three-point line, while Vanderbilt must find a way to slow down Kentucky’s scoring threats. With Kentucky’s strong record at home and Vanderbilt’s struggles on the road, the Wildcats are clear favorites, but as any college basketball fan knows, anything can happen on game day.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Kentucky Wildcats Pick

The pick for the Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Kentucky Wildcats game is ‘Over’. This prediction is based on Kentucky’s high-scoring offense, which averages 89.6 points per game, ranking them 4th in the nation. The Wildcats have surpassed the 90-point mark in 10 of their 16 SEC games, including a staggering 109 points in their previous encounter with the Commodores. With Kentucky’s proficiency from beyond the arc, shooting at a 40.8% clip, and Vanderbilt’s defensive struggles, particularly against the three-point shot, there’s a strong likelihood that Kentucky alone will push the total score towards the over.

Furthermore, the over-under trends for both teams support this pick. Kentucky has seen the ‘over’ hit in 21 of their games this season, with a notable 16-3 record for overs at home. Although Vanderbilt’s overall trend leans towards the ‘under’, their defense has been porous enough to allow opponents to score at will, which Kentucky’s offense is more than capable of exploiting. Despite Vanderbilt’s offensive woes, Kentucky’s less-than-impenetrable defense may give the Commodores opportunities to contribute to the total score. Considering these factors, the ‘over’ is the right pick for this SEC clash.

The Pick: Over 160.5 -110 (Ceasars)