Props Staff

Cavaliers vs. Mavericks Player Props & Predictions – Tuesday, Feb 27

Dec 14, 2023; Dallas, Texas, USA; Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) runs back up the court after making a three point shot against the Minnesota Timberwolves during the first quarter at the American Airlines Center.
Image Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

The Cavaliers are ready to clash with the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday, Feb 27. Today’s matchup is set to tip off at 7:00 ET and will be televised on BSOH. Cleveland enters this game as 4.5-point favorites, and the over/under total is currently at 233.5. Can the Cavaliers pull this one out as the favorite? Below you will find our Cavaliers vs. Mavericks predictions.

Cavaliers vs. Mavericks Odds

  • Spread: Cavaliers -4.5
  • Total 233.5

Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, Feb 27
  • Time: 7:00 ET
  • Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland OH
  • TV: BSOH

Mavericks Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 117 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.

Cavaliers Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Cavaliers have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • In their last three home games, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 110 points per game in these contests.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting favorite, the Cavaliers have gone 0-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.

Can the Mavericks Pull Off a Win at Cleveland?

Today, the Mavericks are looking to bounce back after a 133-111 loss to the Pacers. The combined scoring in that game was 244 points, which was lower than the O/U line of 252.

This season, Dallas has a record of 28-29 on the O/U, and their games have averaged a combined 236 points. In their last four games, the Mavs have gone under the O/U line.

For the season, the Mavericks are 9-15 as the underdog and have gone 10-14 ATS as the underdog. On the road, their ATS record is 16-10 compared to 14-17 at home.

In the Western Conference, the Mavericks are currently in 8th place with a record of 33-24. Against the West, they are 21-18 and 12-6 in non-conference games.

On the road, the Mavericks have an average scoring differential of -2.3 points per game. They are 15-11 on the road and are 4.5-point underdogs today.

When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks are one of the most potent offenses in the league, ranking 7th in points per game at 118.6. However, they have been slightly better at home, averaging 120.5 points compared to 116.4 on the road.

Dallas is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA, ranking 2nd in both three-pointers made and attempted per game. Overall, they have hit 37% of their shots from beyond the arc.

So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 57.9% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 12th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game.

At this time, the Mavericks’ defense is positioned 19th in the NBA, permitting 117.4 points per game. Inside the arc, the Mavericks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.8% and 36.5% from three-point territory.

Do the Cavaliers Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

In their last game against the Wizards, the Cavaliers won by a score of 114-105. The over/under line for that game was 235 points. This improved their overall record to 37-19, which is currently 2nd in the Eastern Conference.

The Cavaliers are favored by 4.5 points in today’s game and have gone 29-9 as the favorite this season. Against the spread, they are 19-18 as the favorite and have a scoring margin of +8.8 points per game.

Cleveland’s O/U record for the season is 25-30-1, and their last two games have gone under the posted totals. Today’s O/U line of 233.5 is higher than 45 of their previous games.

In non-conference games, the Cavaliers are 12-6 compared to 25-13 against the Eastern Conference. At home, they are 19-10 straight-up and 14-15 against the spread.

At home this season, the Cavaliers are averaging 115.9 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA. Overall, they are 16th in scoring at 114.4 points per game. In terms of pace, Cleveland is 22nd in the league at 97.6 possessions per game.

So far, the Cavaliers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 44.6% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, Cleveland is 12th in the league at 48%. They are also 11th in true shooting percentage.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Cavaliers are 12th in made threes at 13.2 per game. However, they are just 18th in three-point shooting percentage at 36%. In terms of free throws, Cleveland is 23rd in both attempts and makes.

So far, the Cavaliers’ defense is ranked 2nd in the league at 109.2 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Cavaliers’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 51.7% and allowing 36.0% from beyond the arc.

Cavaliers vs. Mavericks Player Props

A player prop we are looking at is Luka Doncic and his points prop of 32.5.

Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -125 while the under is at -109. With his prop at 32.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 33. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.8% and knocking down four threes.

  • The Prop: Luka Doncic Over 32.5 Points (-125)

NBA Player Props Special: Tuesday, Feb. 27

This is a no-brainer NBA prop for NEW USERS of Underdog Fantasy on Tuesday.

NBA player props from Underdog Fantasy is Nikola Jokic over 0.5 points.

Our partners at Underdog Fantasy are offering a promotion that allows you to take Nikola Jokic over 0.5 points.

  • New customers can also get up to a $100 deposit bonus with promo code PROPS.
  • You can pair this with one of the aforementioned props or use our NBA cheat sheets for help.
  • This presents a fantastic opportunity to boost your bankroll.

To redeem this exclusive offer, simply click here or the banner below.

UNDERDOG
Special Pick & $1000 Deposit Bonus
Enter Promo Code: PROPS
Special Pick & $1000 Deposit Bonus
Enter Promo Code: PROPS
CLAIM OFFERCLAIM OFFER

Cavaliers vs. Mavericks Predictions

As the underdogs with a spread of +4.5, we recommend going with the Mavericks on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 233.5 and given that our model is projecting 297 points between the teams, we like the over.

The Pick: Mavericks +4.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook

More NBA Player Props & Picks: Tuesday, Feb. 27