The Mavericks are gearing up for a showdown against the Phoenix Suns on Thursday, Feb 22. Today’s game is scheduled to start at 7:30 ET and will be broadcast on TNT. Dallas comes into this matchup as 1.5-point favorites, with the over/under set at 245. Will the Mavericks manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Mavericks vs. Suns predictions.
Mavericks vs. Suns Odds
- Spread: Mavericks -1.5
- Total 245
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Thursday, Feb 22
- Time: 7:30 ET
- Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas TX
- TV: TNT
Suns Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Suns have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- The Suns are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Phoenix has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
Mavericks Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across their last three home contests, Dallas has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 119 points per game.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Mavericks have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.
Can the Suns Lock in a Road Win?
Phoenix is currently 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 33-22. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 19-15 compared to 14-7 in non-conference games.
The Suns have won two straight games and are 15-11 on the road this season. In their last game, they defeated the Pistons by a score of 116-100. The O/U line for that game was 238 points.
Against the spread, the Suns have covered in two straight games and have an ATS record of 23-31 for the season. On the road, they are 12-14 ATS compared to 11-17 ATS at home.
For the season, the Suns are 6-8 vs. other teams in the Pacific Division. As the underdog, they are 5-8 and have an average scoring differential of -3.8 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 245 is higher than all but four of their games this season.
Phoenix’s O/U record for the season is 27-28, and their games have averaged 231.9 points per game. This season, their games have averaged an over/under line of 232.5 points.
When it comes to scoring, the Suns are averaging 117.6 points per game, which is 12th in the NBA. They have been able to maintain that scoring average both at home and on the road.
One area where the Suns have excelled is getting to the free-throw line. They are 4th in the NBA in free-throw attempts, averaging 25.1 per game. In terms of pace, Phoenix is 15th in the league.
So far this season, the Suns have made 49% of their field goal attempts, which is 3rd in the NBA. They are also one of the top teams in terms of true shooting percentage.
At this time, the Suns’ defense is positioned 15th in the NBA, permitting 114.3 points per game. For the season, Phoenix is ranked 24th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 21.9 free-throws per game vs. the Suns and have an overall field goal percentage of 46.8%.
Can Dallas Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?
Dallas is favored by 1.5 points today and has gone 6-0 straight up as the favorite. In the Western Conference, they are 7th with a record of 32-23.
This year, the Mavericks have an average scoring differential of +3.9 points per game at home. Against the spread at home, they are 13-17 and 19-12 as the favorite.
In their last game against the Spurs, the Mavericks won 116-93 as 11.5-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was 243 points.
In Dallas’ games this season, the average over/under line is 235.7 points. Today’s line is set at 245, and the team’s O/U record for the season is 28-27. The team has hit the under in their last two games.
So far, the Mavericks are 29-26 against the spread, and they have covered in three straight games at home. On the road, their ATS record is 16-9 compared to 13-17 at home.
At home, the Mavericks are averaging 120.4 points per game, which is 8th in the NBA. Overall, they are 7th in scoring at 118.7 points per game. In terms of three-point shooting, the Mavericks are 3rd in made threes and 11th in three-point shooting percentage.
So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 58.2% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Mavericks are 13th in the NBA.
When it comes to free throw shooting, the Mavericks are 15th in free throws made per game and 10th in free throw attempts. In terms of two-point shooting, they are 8th in the NBA with a 56% shooting percentage. Overall, the Mavericks are 22nd in assists and 22nd in offensive rebounds.
On average, the Dallas defense is giving up 117.2 points per game (19th). Right now, they are on a 2 game streak of giving up fewer points than their season average. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.6% while allowing 36.4% from downtown.
Mavericks vs. Suns Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Luka Doncic and his points prop of 31.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -123 while the under is at -111. Considering his prop is set at 31.5, our model recommends taking the over, as we expect him to finish with 32. We anticipate him shooting 50.0% from the field and making four threes.
- The Prop: Luka Doncic Over 31.5 Points (-123)
Mavericks vs. Suns Predictions
We’re calling a win for the Mavericks, with a final score of 157-145, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Mavericks at -1.5.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 245, and our model projects the Suns and Mavericks to reach a combined total of 302 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
The Pick: Mavericks -1.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook