The Warriors and Denver Nuggets will matchup on Thursday, Jan 4. Tip-off for the game is 10:00 ET and will be shown on TNT. Denver is favored by 3 points in this game, and the total is 235. Who do we think will come out on top? Keep reading for our top Warriors vs. Nuggets player props and predictions.
Warriors vs. Nuggets Odds
- Spread: Nuggets -3
- Total 235
Game Info
- Date: Thursday, Jan 4
- Time: 10:00 ET
- Location: Chase Center, San Francisco CA
- TV: TNT
Nuggets Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 116 per game. The team went 5-0 overall in these games.
- Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Nuggets struggled vs the spread going just 2-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 4-1.
Warriors Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 2-2-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across their three previous home games, Golden State has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 115 points per game.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Golden State has an ATS mark of 4-1 while going 1-4 straight up.
Will the Nuggets Find a Way to Win on the Road?
Coming into today’s game vs. the Warriors, the Nuggets have a 24-11 record and are above .500. In their 35 games, the Nuggets are 15-9 vs. Western Conference teams and are 9-2 in non-conference play.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets scored 111 points against the Hornets. They shot 49.4% from the field and made 15 three-pointers. When it comes to pace, Denver is one of the slower teams in the NBA, averaging 96.6 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 23rd in attempts and 6th in three-point shooting percentage.
So far this season, the Denver Nuggets have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 3rd in points allowed per game at 109.8. They have been especially good on the road, giving up just 109.8 points per game away from home, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.
Opponents have struggled to score against the Nuggets, as they have held teams below their season average in 77.1% of their games. Denver has also done a good job defending the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot just 35.7% from beyond the arc, which is the 5th best mark in the NBA.
Over their last five games, the Nuggets have been even better on the defensive end, ranking 2nd in points allowed at 105.2. During this stretch, they have been particularly good at defending two-point shots, holding opponents to just 49.4% shooting from inside the arc.
Do the Warriors Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?
If the Warriors can defeat the Nuggets, they will get back to .500 on the season with a record of 17-17. In Western Conference games, the Warriors are 11-14 and have gone 5-3 in non-conference games.
Coming into today’s game, Stephen Curry is leading the Warriors in scoring with an average of 27.6 PPG. Klay Thompson is second on the team with 16.7 PPG. Overall, the Warriors are averaging 116.9 PPG and are coming off a game where they scored 121 points.
So far this season, the Warriors defense has been middle of the pack, allowing 116.3 points per game (20th). In their last five games, they have given up 117.4 points per game (17th).
Golden State has been a good rebounding team, ranking 2nd in the NBA. They are also 7th in defensive rebounds.
One area where the Warriors have struggled is blocking shots, ranking 28th in the league. They have also been fouling a lot, ranking 5th in personal fouls.
When it comes to three-point defense, Golden State is 11th in three-point percentage allowed and 11th in made threes allowed per game.
So far this season, opponents have scored more than their season average 63.6% of the time vs. the Warriors.
Warriors vs. Nuggets Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Nikola Jokic and his points prop of 25.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -125 while the under is at -105. In his matchup vs. the Warriors, we are recommending to take the under on Nikola Jokic and his prop of 25.5 points. Our player projection model has him falling short of his prop with a projected 25.
- The Prop: Nikola Jokic Under 25.5 Points (-105)
Warriors vs. Nuggets Predictions
For a point-spread bet in this Nuggets vs. Warriors matchup, we’re leaning towards the Warriors at +3. Although our projections show the Nuggets winning 110-109, we suggest placing your bet on the Warriors for the point-spread.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 235, and our model predicts the Nuggets and Warriors to score a combined 219 points. We recommend betting on the under.
The Pick: Warriors +3 | at Fanduel Sportsbook